{"title":"从2021年全球疾病负担研究来看，中国高钠饮食引起的缺血性卒中的时间趋势","authors":"Jiaming Cui, Zhiwei Xu, Yang Dai, Qi Wang, Zhihui Hou, Yongchen Zhang, Hongling Jia","doi":"10.3389/fnut.2025.1513981","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Ischemic stroke is a significant global health burden, with high sodium intake recognized as a key risk factor. This study aimed to assess the disease burden of ischemic stroke attributable to diet high in sodium in China from 1990 to 2021. Additionally, we analyzed the influence of age, period, and cohort effects on the trends in ischemic stroke burden and projected the disease burden from 2022 to 2036.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) were used to analyze the ischemic stroke burden among high-risk populations in China. Annual average percent change (AAPC) was calculated using Joinpoint regression models to evaluate trends in ischemic stroke burden from 1990 to 2021. Age-period-cohort models were employed to estimate the independent effects of age, period, and cohort on the ischemic stroke burden, and to project the burden from 2022 to 2036 using Bayesian age-period-cohort models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>From 1990 to 2021, ischemic stroke mortality attributable to diet high in sodium in China showed a continuous increase, while the age-standardized mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) significantly declined. In the age-period-cohort analysis, the age effect on ischemic stroke burden increased steadily over the study period. Period effects revealed an initial decline in the relative risk (RR) of ischemic stroke mortality and DALY rates, followed by an increase in cohorts born before 2004-2009, and a gradual decline in cohorts born after that period. Cohort effects demonstrated a continuous decline in the relative risk of ischemic stroke mortality and DALY rates from 1990 to 2021.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study found that ischemic stroke attributable to a diet high in sodium in China fluctuated from 1990 to 2021, with a declining trend observed in recent years. Projections indicate that this downward trend will continue. Age and birth period are key factors influencing the disease burden, with older adults and men being particularly affected. Future policy efforts should focus on enhancing health management in high-risk populations to further reduce the burden of ischemic stroke linked to high sodium intake.</p>","PeriodicalId":12473,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Nutrition","volume":"12 ","pages":"1513981"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11966442/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Temporal trends of ischemic stroke attributable to diet high in sodium in China from the global burden of disease study 2021.\",\"authors\":\"Jiaming Cui, Zhiwei Xu, Yang Dai, Qi Wang, Zhihui Hou, Yongchen Zhang, Hongling Jia\",\"doi\":\"10.3389/fnut.2025.1513981\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Ischemic stroke is a significant global health burden, with high sodium intake recognized as a key risk factor. This study aimed to assess the disease burden of ischemic stroke attributable to diet high in sodium in China from 1990 to 2021. Additionally, we analyzed the influence of age, period, and cohort effects on the trends in ischemic stroke burden and projected the disease burden from 2022 to 2036.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) were used to analyze the ischemic stroke burden among high-risk populations in China. Annual average percent change (AAPC) was calculated using Joinpoint regression models to evaluate trends in ischemic stroke burden from 1990 to 2021. Age-period-cohort models were employed to estimate the independent effects of age, period, and cohort on the ischemic stroke burden, and to project the burden from 2022 to 2036 using Bayesian age-period-cohort models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>From 1990 to 2021, ischemic stroke mortality attributable to diet high in sodium in China showed a continuous increase, while the age-standardized mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) significantly declined. In the age-period-cohort analysis, the age effect on ischemic stroke burden increased steadily over the study period. Period effects revealed an initial decline in the relative risk (RR) of ischemic stroke mortality and DALY rates, followed by an increase in cohorts born before 2004-2009, and a gradual decline in cohorts born after that period. Cohort effects demonstrated a continuous decline in the relative risk of ischemic stroke mortality and DALY rates from 1990 to 2021.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study found that ischemic stroke attributable to a diet high in sodium in China fluctuated from 1990 to 2021, with a declining trend observed in recent years. Projections indicate that this downward trend will continue. Age and birth period are key factors influencing the disease burden, with older adults and men being particularly affected. Future policy efforts should focus on enhancing health management in high-risk populations to further reduce the burden of ischemic stroke linked to high sodium intake.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":12473,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Frontiers in Nutrition\",\"volume\":\"12 \",\"pages\":\"1513981\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-03-13\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11966442/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Frontiers in Nutrition\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"97\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.3389/fnut.2025.1513981\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"农林科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2025/1/1 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"eCollection\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"NUTRITION & DIETETICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Frontiers in Nutrition","FirstCategoryId":"97","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fnut.2025.1513981","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/1/1 0:00:00","PubModel":"eCollection","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"NUTRITION & DIETETICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Temporal trends of ischemic stroke attributable to diet high in sodium in China from the global burden of disease study 2021.
Background: Ischemic stroke is a significant global health burden, with high sodium intake recognized as a key risk factor. This study aimed to assess the disease burden of ischemic stroke attributable to diet high in sodium in China from 1990 to 2021. Additionally, we analyzed the influence of age, period, and cohort effects on the trends in ischemic stroke burden and projected the disease burden from 2022 to 2036.
Methods: Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) were used to analyze the ischemic stroke burden among high-risk populations in China. Annual average percent change (AAPC) was calculated using Joinpoint regression models to evaluate trends in ischemic stroke burden from 1990 to 2021. Age-period-cohort models were employed to estimate the independent effects of age, period, and cohort on the ischemic stroke burden, and to project the burden from 2022 to 2036 using Bayesian age-period-cohort models.
Results: From 1990 to 2021, ischemic stroke mortality attributable to diet high in sodium in China showed a continuous increase, while the age-standardized mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) significantly declined. In the age-period-cohort analysis, the age effect on ischemic stroke burden increased steadily over the study period. Period effects revealed an initial decline in the relative risk (RR) of ischemic stroke mortality and DALY rates, followed by an increase in cohorts born before 2004-2009, and a gradual decline in cohorts born after that period. Cohort effects demonstrated a continuous decline in the relative risk of ischemic stroke mortality and DALY rates from 1990 to 2021.
Conclusion: This study found that ischemic stroke attributable to a diet high in sodium in China fluctuated from 1990 to 2021, with a declining trend observed in recent years. Projections indicate that this downward trend will continue. Age and birth period are key factors influencing the disease burden, with older adults and men being particularly affected. Future policy efforts should focus on enhancing health management in high-risk populations to further reduce the burden of ischemic stroke linked to high sodium intake.
期刊介绍：
No subject pertains more to human life than nutrition. The aim of Frontiers in Nutrition is to integrate major scientific disciplines in this vast field in order to address the most relevant and pertinent questions and developments. Our ambition is to create an integrated podium based on original research, clinical trials, and contemporary reviews to build a reputable knowledge forum in the domains of human health, dietary behaviors, agronomy & 21st century food science. Through the recognized open-access Frontiers platform we welcome manuscripts to our dedicated sections relating to different areas in the field of nutrition with a focus on human health.
Specialty sections in Frontiers in Nutrition include, for example, Clinical Nutrition, Nutrition & Sustainable Diets, Nutrition and Food Science Technology, Nutrition Methodology, Sport & Exercise Nutrition, Food Chemistry, and Nutritional Immunology. Based on the publication of rigorous scientific research, we thrive to achieve a visible impact on the global nutrition agenda addressing the grand challenges of our time, including obesity, malnutrition, hunger, food waste, sustainability and consumer health.
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