人口与气候变化:考虑气候变化人口统计学的过去和未来

IF 4.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY
Kathryn Grace, Emily Klancher Merchant, Nicholas Nagle
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文探讨了发展了解气候变化的人口统计的潜力。气候变化对社会的影响在某些方面是人口统计学家最适合评估的,为人口统计学家提供了一个环境来推进人口变化的基础理论。通过考虑气候变化背景下的人口学和人口变化背景下的气候变化,气候变化人口学有可能扩大对人类对气候变化脆弱性的科学和政策理解,同时也促进人口科学的发展。为了探索气候变化人口学的发展,我们首先反思人口学的根源,并考虑基础人口研究如何考虑和没有考虑自然环境。其次,我们描述了人口统计学家开始研究自然环境与生育率、死亡率和健康之间的联系。第三,我们探讨了目前在气候变化和人口统计学交叉领域的研究,强调了与孕产妇、生殖和儿童健康以及粮食不安全相关的关键问题的研究所带来的理论和政策成功和机遇。这项研究通常反映了自然科学和社会科学之间的跨学科合作,其中人口统计学基础是许多方法的基础。第四,我们考虑了气候变化背景下快速发展的数据格局和对社会和健康不平等的日益增强的认识如何为更复杂和动态的建模工作(例如,基于生态和系统的研究)铺平道路。在最后一节中,我们还强调了在气候变化背景下构建人口研究以及使用日益复杂的数据和方法工具来扩展和重新审视人口转型等关键人口模型所提供的机会。这些部分共同构建了一个总体的、相互关联的气候变化-人口-健康研究议程,该议程植根于对过去的认识,并以未来的需求为重点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Population and Climate Change: Considering Climate Change Demography's Past and Future
This article explores the potential for the development of a climate change–informed demography. Climate change impacts society in some ways that demographers are best suited to evaluate, providing a setting for demographers to advance foundational theories of demographic change. By considering demography in the context of climate change and climate change in the context of demographic change, climate change demography has the potential to expand scientific and policy understanding of human vulnerability to climate change, while also advancing demographic science. To explore the development of climate change demography, we first reflect on demography's roots and consider how foundational demographic research has and has not considered the natural environment. Second, we describe the beginnings of research by demographers into connections between the natural environment and fertility, mortality, and health. Third, we explore current research at the intersection of climate change and demography, highlighting theory and policy successes and opportunities resulting from research on key issues related to maternal, reproductive, and child health and food insecurity. This research often reflects interdisciplinary engagement between the physical and social sciences, where demographic foundations underlie many of the approaches. Fourth, we consider how the rapidly evolving data landscape and increasing awareness of social and health inequalities in the context of climate change pave the way for more complex and dynamic modeling efforts (e.g., ecological and systems‐based research). In this final section, we also highlight the opportunities provided by framing demographic research within the context of climate change and using increasingly sophisticated data and methodological tools to expand on and revisit key demographic models like the demographic transition. Together, these sections build an overarching and linked climate change–demography–health research agenda rooted in awareness of the past and focused on the needs of the future.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
4.00%
发文量
60
期刊介绍: Population and Development Review is essential reading to keep abreast of population studies, research on the interrelationships between population and socioeconomic change, and related thinking on public policy. Its interests span both developed and developing countries, theoretical advances as well as empirical analyses and case studies, a broad range of disciplinary approaches, and concern with historical as well as present-day problems.
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