BSAformer:长期序列预测的双向序列分裂聚合注意机制

IF 4.6 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
QingBo Zhu, JiaLin Han, Sheng Yang, ZhiQiang Xie, Bo Tian, HaiBo Wan, Kai Chai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

时间序列预测在能源、交通、气象和流行病学等各个领域发挥着至关重要的作用。然而,在处理复杂和广泛的时间序列数据时,现有模型经常难以捕获长期依赖关系和管理计算效率。为了解决这些挑战,本文引入了BSAformer模型,该模型利用了频域序列渐进分裂-聚合(SPSA)和双向分裂-聚合注意(BSAA)机制的独特组合。SPSA模块将序列分解为季节和趋势组件,增强了模型识别周期模式的能力,而BSAA机制捕获了前向和后向依赖关系,提供了对时间动态的全面理解。在七个基准数据集上进行的大量实验证明了BSAformer模型的卓越性能,与最先进的模型相比,在准确性和效率方面有显着提高。具体而言,BSAformer在ECL数据集、Traffic数据集和ILI数据集上实现了显著的均方误差(MSE)降低,分别为63.7%、28.1%和49.8%。这些结果验证了模型的鲁棒性和对不同时间序列预测情景的适应性。从本研究中获得的见解通过提供一个提高准确性和计算效率的模型,特别是在处理长期依赖关系和复杂的时间模式方面,有助于时间序列预测的进步。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
BSAformer: bidirectional sequence splitting aggregation attention mechanism for long term series forecasting

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role across various sectors, including energy, transportation, meteorology, and epidemiology. However, existing models often struggle with capturing long-term dependencies and managing computational efficiency when handling complex and extensive time series data. To address these challenges, this paper introduces the BSAformer model, which leverages a unique combination of frequency-domain Sequence Progressive Split-Aggregation (SPSA) and Bidirectional Splitting-Agg Attention (BSAA) mechanisms. The SPSA module decomposes sequences into seasonal and trend components, enhancing the model’s ability to identify cyclical patterns, while the BSAA mechanism captures forward and backward dependencies, providing a comprehensive understanding of temporal dynamics. Extensive experiments conducted on seven benchmark datasets demonstrate the BSAformer model's superior performance, with notable improvements in accuracy and efficiency over state-of-the-art models. Specifically, the BSAformer achieves significant Mean Squared Error (MSE) reductions of 63.7% on the ECL dataset, 28.1% on the Traffic dataset, and 49.8% on the ILI dataset. These results validate the model’s robustness and its adaptability across diverse time series forecasting scenarios. The insights gained from this study contribute to the advancement of time series forecasting by providing a model that improves both accuracy and computational efficiency, especially in handling long-term dependencies and complex temporal patterns.

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来源期刊
Complex & Intelligent Systems
Complex & Intelligent Systems COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE-
CiteScore
9.60
自引率
10.30%
发文量
297
期刊介绍: Complex & Intelligent Systems aims to provide a forum for presenting and discussing novel approaches, tools and techniques meant for attaining a cross-fertilization between the broad fields of complex systems, computational simulation, and intelligent analytics and visualization. The transdisciplinary research that the journal focuses on will expand the boundaries of our understanding by investigating the principles and processes that underlie many of the most profound problems facing society today.
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