当地特征与违反交通信号和停车标志引发的碰撞事故是否存在关联?美国阿拉巴马州基于层次模型的研究

IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION
Md Musfiqur Rahman Bhuiya , Jun Liu , Steven Jones , Qifan Nie
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引用次数: 0

摘要

违反交通规则是道路交通事故的主要原因之一。本研究调查了美国阿拉巴马州十字路口涉及交通标志或信号违规的交通事故,利用全州范围内的事故数据库,其中包含近60,000起标志或信号违规事故,以告知缓解策略。本研究旨在确定导致十字路口交通标志或信号违规事故的因素,并特别关注当地特征,包括建筑环境和社会经济因素。由于数据结构是多层次的,本研究采用分层建模的方法来探索交叉口碰撞的相关性,并将分层建模与二元logit模型和负二项模型相结合,分别建立模型来解释两类碰撞的影响因素。建模结果表明,在靠近开放空间的十字路口,信号违章和停车标志违章事故发生的频率更高。这两种违规事故更有可能发生在低收入或受教育程度较低的家庭较多的街区群体中。此外,碰撞频率与从十字路口到最近的执法机构的距离呈正相关,与该地区警察的数量负相关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is there any association of local characteristics with traffic signal and stop sign violation induced crashes? A Hierarchical Modeling based study from Alabama, USA
Traffic violations are one of the major causes of road crashes. This study investigates traffic crashes involving traffic sign or signal violations at intersections in Alabama, USA by exploiting a statewide crash database with nearly 60,000 sign or signal violation crashes to inform mitigation strategies. This study aims to identify factors contributing to traffic sign or signal violation crashes at intersections, with a particular focus on local characteristics, including the built environment and socioeconomic factors. Due to the multi-level data structure, this study employs a hierarchical modeling approach to explore the correlates of intersection crashes and develop models by integrating hierarchical modeling with the binary logit model and negative binomial model separately to explain factors contributing to both types of crashes. The modeling results reveal that signal violation and stop sign violation crashes occur more frequently at intersections close to open spaces. Both violation crashes are more likely to occur in block groups with more low-income or under-educated households. Further, the crash frequencies are positively related to the distance from an intersection to its nearest law enforcement agency and negatively related to the number of police officers in an area.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
12.00%
发文量
222
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