具有成本效益的适应措施增加了水稻产量,同时减少了气候变化下的污染

Yujing Gao, Jinglan Cui, Xiuming Zhang, Gerrit Hoogenboom, Daniel Wallach, Yuqi Huang, Stefan Reis, Tao Lin, Baojing Gu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

水稻是温室气体和氮污染的主要来源。虽然已经制定了最佳管理做法,以提高当前气候下水稻生产的可持续性,但它们在未来气候情景下的适应性和有效性仍然不确定。本文从未来气候条件下提高水稻产量、减少温室气体排放和减少氮污染的角度,对全球水稻产区网格单元的49种最佳管理实践进行了评估。为每个网格单元分配最优气候适应措施。研究表明,实施上述适应策略可使全球水稻产量增加36%,温室气体排放和氮损失分别减少23%和32%。这一做法可为粮食供应、资源节约、减缓气候变化和环境保护带来1170亿美元的全球效益,实施总成本为130亿美元。面对气候挑战,制定切实可行且具有成本效益的适应战略对于全球农业系统的可持续发展至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Cost-effective adaptations increase rice production while reducing pollution under climate change

Cost-effective adaptations increase rice production while reducing pollution under climate change

Rice is a major source of greenhouse gas (GHG) and nitrogen pollution. While best management practices have been developed to enhance the sustainability of rice production under current climates, their adaptability and efficacy under future climate scenarios remain uncertain. Here we evaluated 49 best management practices across global grid cells of rice-producing areas in terms of increasing rice production, reducing GHG emissions and minimizing nitrogen pollution under future climate conditions. Optimal climate adaptation measures were assigned to each grid cell. We show that implementing the proposed adaptation strategy could increase global rice production by 36% while reducing GHG emissions and nitrogen losses by 23% and 32%, respectively. This approach could lead to a global benefit of US$117 billion for food supply, resource saving, climate mitigation and environmental protection, with total implementation costs of US$13 billion. Establishing practical and cost-effective adaptation strategies is critical for the sustainable development of the global agricultural system in the face of climate challenges.

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