公司层面的政治风险是否已在公司债券市场上定价?

IF 2.1 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Luis Ceballos , Vanja Piljak , Laurens Swinkels
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们通过使用基于文本的公司层面政治风险衡量标准,研究了政治风险是否在公司债券收益的横截面中被定价。在控制了债券和公司特征、常规风险因素以及总体经济政策不确定性风险敞口之后,我们发现政治风险溢价为正且显著。政治风险和信用风险较高的债券,以及规模较小、流动性较差和期限较长的公司债券表现出较大的政治风险溢价。时间序列分析表明,货币政策冲击以及股票和债券市场的共同冲击在统计上与政治风险溢价有显著的正相关关系。我们的研究结果揭示了除普通风险因素和总体经济政策不确定性之外,特异性政治风险的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is firm-level political risk priced in the corporate bond market?
We investigate whether political risk is priced in the cross-section of corporate bond returns by using a text-based measure of firm-level political risk. We document a positive and significant political risk premium after controlling for bond and firm characteristics, conventional risk factors, and exposure to aggregate economic policy uncertainty. Bonds with higher political and credit risk, as well as smaller, more illiquid, and longer maturity corporate bonds exhibit a larger political risk premium. Time-series analysis indicates that monetary policy shocks and common shocks in the equity and bond market exhibit a statistically significant and positive association with the political risk premium. Our findings reveal the importance of idiosyncratic political risk beyond common risk factors and aggregate economic policy uncertainty.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
3.80%
发文量
59
期刊介绍: The Journal of Empirical Finance is a financial economics journal whose aim is to publish high quality articles in empirical finance. Empirical finance is interpreted broadly to include any type of empirical work in financial economics, financial econometrics, and also theoretical work with clear empirical implications, even when there is no empirical analysis. The Journal welcomes articles in all fields of finance, such as asset pricing, corporate finance, financial econometrics, banking, international finance, microstructure, behavioural finance, etc. The Editorial Team is willing to take risks on innovative research, controversial papers, and unusual approaches. We are also particularly interested in work produced by young scholars. The composition of the editorial board reflects such goals.
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