颠覆休谟

IF 1.1 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY
Casper Storm Hansen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

某些关于未来的先验可信度分布会导致归纳主义,而另一些则会导致归纳怀疑主义。我认为,很难认为后者是合理的。我并没有证明它们是不合理的,但在本文的最后,情况发生了逆转:按照哲学之前的直觉,归纳主义重新成为最合理的默认立场,而怀疑论者则需要为自己的立场提供新的论据。原因如下。关于世界的运行,有一些可能性,如果给予肯定的信任,就会支持归纳主义。从表面上看,人们可能会认为,这些可能性的替代方案如果被赋予类似或更多的可信度,就会抵消这种支持。然而,我认为,合理的可信度分布是有道理的,因为这些替代可能性最多只能抵消它们自己,从而使归纳法的支持完好无损。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Turning the tables on Hume

Turning the tables on Hume

Certain prior credence distributions concerning the future lead to inductivism, and others lead to inductive skepticism. I argue that it is difficult to consider the latter to be reasonable. I do not prove that they are not, but at the end of the paper, the tables are turned: in line with pre-philosophical intuitions, inductivism has retaken its place as the most reasonable default position, while the skeptic is called on to supply a novel argument for his. The reason is as follows. There are certain possibilities concerning the functioning of the world that, if assigned positive credence, support inductivism. Prima facie, one might think that the alternatives to those possibilities, if assigned similar or more credence, cancel out that support. However, I argue that it is plausible that reasonable credence distributions are such that the alternatives at most cancel themselves out, and thus leave the support for inductivism intact.

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来源期刊
PHILOSOPHICAL STUDIES
PHILOSOPHICAL STUDIES PHILOSOPHY-
CiteScore
2.60
自引率
7.70%
发文量
127
期刊介绍: Philosophical Studies was founded in 1950 by Herbert Feigl and Wilfrid Sellars to provide a periodical dedicated to work in analytic philosophy. The journal remains devoted to the publication of papers in exclusively analytic philosophy. Papers applying formal techniques to philosophical problems are welcome. The principal aim is to publish articles that are models of clarity and precision in dealing with significant philosophical issues. It is intended that readers of the journal will be kept abreast of the central issues and problems of contemporary analytic philosophy. Double-blind review procedure The journal follows a double-blind reviewing procedure. Authors are therefore requested to place their name and affiliation on a separate page. Self-identifying citations and references in the article text should either be avoided or left blank when manuscripts are first submitted. Authors are responsible for reinserting self-identifying citations and references when manuscripts are prepared for final submission.
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