多少次迁移才算多?澳大利亚青年成年期的重复国内移民和主观幸福感

IF 2.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY
Jing Wu, Aude Bernard
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管将国内移民作为生命历程轨迹进行分析的呼声日益高涨,但大多数研究都是以移民和非移民的二分法为基础,使用有记录的最后一次移民。借助纵向调查的成熟和方法论的进步,本文确定了个人移民轨迹的多样性和复杂性及其与主观幸福感的长期关联。我们将序列和聚类分析应用于澳大利亚家庭、收入和劳动力动态(HILDA)调查数据,根据地区间迁移的时间、频率和方向,确定千禧一代从15-18岁到27-30岁的迁移轨迹。然后,我们结合数据挖掘技术、机器学习算法和回归分析,探讨国内移民轨迹与经济和社会主观幸福感(SWB)之间的关联。我们发现,整整三分之一的青壮年都是重复移民,分为返乡移民、连续向前移民和循环移民。重复移民的生活满意度通常较低。连续的迁徙会累积影响生活满意度,连续迁徙与社会 SWB 之间的负相关就表明了这一点。此外,回流移民对其经济结果的满意度较低,尤其是在连续两次向外移民后回流或在成年早期回流的情况下。总之,这些结果揭示了移民轨迹的异质性,而当移民被视为一次性事件时,这种异质性就会被忽略,同时也表明国内移民在整个生命过程中会在社会和经济结果之间进行权衡。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

How many moves are too many? Repeat internal migration and subjective well-being in young adulthood in Australia

How many moves are too many? Repeat internal migration and subjective well-being in young adulthood in Australia

Despite growing calls to analyse internal migration as a life-course trajectory, most studies use the last recorded migration based on a dichotomy between migrants and non-migrants. Leveraging the maturation of longitudinal surveys and methodological advances, this paper establishes the diversity and complexity of individual migration trajectories and their long-term association with subjective well-being. We apply sequence and cluster analysis to the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) survey data to establish the migration trajectories of millennials from the ages of 15–18 to 27–30 based on the timing, frequency, and direction of migration between regions. We then combine data mining techniques, machine learning algorithms and regression analysis to explore the association between internal migration trajectories and economic and social subjective well-being (SWB). We find that a full third of young adults are repeat migrants split between return migrants, serial onward migrants, and circular migrants. Repeat migrants often exhibit lower levels of life satisfaction. Successive migrations cumulatively shape life satisfaction, as shown by a negative association between serial onward migration and social SWB. Additionally, return migrants are less satisfied with their economic outcomes, particularly when return migration occurs after two consecutive onward migrations or when return migration occurs early in adulthood. Collectively, these results reveal heterogeneity in migration trajectories that are missed when migration is treated as a one-off event while suggesting that internal migrants operate a trade-off between social and economic outcomes over the life course.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
12.50%
发文量
87
期刊介绍: Population, Space and Place aims to be the leading English-language research journal in the field of geographical population studies. It intends to: - Inform population researchers of the best theoretical and empirical research on topics related to population, space and place - Promote and further enhance the international standing of population research through the exchange of views on what constitutes best research practice - Facilitate debate on issues of policy relevance and encourage the widest possible discussion and dissemination of the applications of research on populations - Review and evaluate the significance of recent research findings and provide an international platform where researchers can discuss the future course of population research
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