{"title":"大量吸烟对退休风险的影响:亡羊补牢式随机分析","authors":"Alessio Gaggero , Olesya Ajnakina , Eugenio Zucchelli , Ruth A. Hackett","doi":"10.1016/j.addbeh.2024.108078","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background and aims</h3><p>The extent to which heavy smoking and retirement risk are causally related remains to be determined. To overcome the endogeneity of heavy smoking behaviour, we employed a novel approach by exploiting the genetic predisposition to heavy smoking, as measured with a polygenic risk score (PGS), in a Mendelian Randomisation approach.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>8164 participants (mean age 68.86 years) from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing had complete data on smoking behaviour, employment and a heavy smoking PGS. Heavy smoking was indexed as smoking at least 20 cigarettes a day. A time-to-event Mendelian Randomization (MR) analysis, using a complementary log–log (cloglog) link function, was employed to model the retirement risk.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Our results show that being a heavy smoker significantly increases the risk of retirement (β = 1.324, standard error = 0.622, <em>p</em> < 0.05). Results were robust to a battery of checks and a placebo analysis considering the never-smokers.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>Overall, our findings support a causal pathway from heavy smoking to earlier retirement.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":7155,"journal":{"name":"Addictive behaviors","volume":"157 ","pages":"Article 108078"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7000,"publicationDate":"2024-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306460324001278/pdfft?md5=635aaca3fab8e11c95a3b4ee9331161d&pid=1-s2.0-S0306460324001278-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The effect of heavy smoking on retirement risk: A mendelian randomisation analysis\",\"authors\":\"Alessio Gaggero , Olesya Ajnakina , Eugenio Zucchelli , Ruth A. Hackett\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.addbeh.2024.108078\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Background and aims</h3><p>The extent to which heavy smoking and retirement risk are causally related remains to be determined. To overcome the endogeneity of heavy smoking behaviour, we employed a novel approach by exploiting the genetic predisposition to heavy smoking, as measured with a polygenic risk score (PGS), in a Mendelian Randomisation approach.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>8164 participants (mean age 68.86 years) from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing had complete data on smoking behaviour, employment and a heavy smoking PGS. Heavy smoking was indexed as smoking at least 20 cigarettes a day. A time-to-event Mendelian Randomization (MR) analysis, using a complementary log–log (cloglog) link function, was employed to model the retirement risk.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Our results show that being a heavy smoker significantly increases the risk of retirement (β = 1.324, standard error = 0.622, <em>p</em> < 0.05). Results were robust to a battery of checks and a placebo analysis considering the never-smokers.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>Overall, our findings support a causal pathway from heavy smoking to earlier retirement.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":7155,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Addictive behaviors\",\"volume\":\"157 \",\"pages\":\"Article 108078\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-06-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306460324001278/pdfft?md5=635aaca3fab8e11c95a3b4ee9331161d&pid=1-s2.0-S0306460324001278-main.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Addictive behaviors\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306460324001278\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"PSYCHOLOGY, CLINICAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Addictive behaviors","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306460324001278","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PSYCHOLOGY, CLINICAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
The effect of heavy smoking on retirement risk: A mendelian randomisation analysis
Background and aims
The extent to which heavy smoking and retirement risk are causally related remains to be determined. To overcome the endogeneity of heavy smoking behaviour, we employed a novel approach by exploiting the genetic predisposition to heavy smoking, as measured with a polygenic risk score (PGS), in a Mendelian Randomisation approach.
Methods
8164 participants (mean age 68.86 years) from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing had complete data on smoking behaviour, employment and a heavy smoking PGS. Heavy smoking was indexed as smoking at least 20 cigarettes a day. A time-to-event Mendelian Randomization (MR) analysis, using a complementary log–log (cloglog) link function, was employed to model the retirement risk.
Results
Our results show that being a heavy smoker significantly increases the risk of retirement (β = 1.324, standard error = 0.622, p < 0.05). Results were robust to a battery of checks and a placebo analysis considering the never-smokers.
Conclusions
Overall, our findings support a causal pathway from heavy smoking to earlier retirement.
期刊介绍:
Addictive Behaviors is an international peer-reviewed journal publishing high quality human research on addictive behaviors and disorders since 1975. The journal accepts submissions of full-length papers and short communications on substance-related addictions such as the abuse of alcohol, drugs and nicotine, and behavioral addictions involving gambling and technology. We primarily publish behavioral and psychosocial research but our articles span the fields of psychology, sociology, psychiatry, epidemiology, social policy, medicine, pharmacology and neuroscience. While theoretical orientations are diverse, the emphasis of the journal is primarily empirical. That is, sound experimental design combined with valid, reliable assessment and evaluation procedures are a requisite for acceptance. However, innovative and empirically oriented case studies that might encourage new lines of inquiry are accepted as well. Studies that clearly contribute to current knowledge of etiology, prevention, social policy or treatment are given priority. Scholarly commentaries on topical issues, systematic reviews, and mini reviews are encouraged. We especially welcome multimedia papers that incorporate video or audio components to better display methodology or findings.
Studies can also be submitted to Addictive Behaviors? companion title, the open access journal Addictive Behaviors Reports, which has a particular interest in ''non-traditional'', innovative and empirically-oriented research such as negative/null data papers, replication studies, case reports on novel treatments, and cross-cultural research.