电子商务基础设施能提高企业生产力吗?来自中国电子商务示范城市的证据

Xiong Zhou, Pengcheng Jiang
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摘要

本研究利用国家电子商务示范城市试点(NEDC)作为电子商务基础设施发展的准自然实验。利用 2005 年至 2022 年在中国 A 股市场上市的非金融企业的面板数据,我们率先采用多期差分法(DID)探讨了电子商务基础设施对全要素生产率(TFP)的直接和间接影响。我们的研究结果表明(1) NEDC 计划显著提高了企业层面的全要素生产率。在通过 IV-2SLS 和倾向得分匹配法以及差分法解决了内生性问题并进行了一系列稳健性检验后,这一结果仍然是稳健的。(2) 渠道检验表明,NEDC 政策主要通过促进技术创新和增加人力资本间接提高了企业的全要素生产率。(3)异质性分析表明,NEDC 政策有效刺激了国有企业、高股权集中度企业、制造业和低技术行业企业的全要素生产率增长。在行政级别高的城市、东部和中部城市以及传统基础设施优越的城市,该政策的影响更为明显。本研究提供的经验证据不仅支持了电子商务基础设施在推动经济增长方面的作用,还为缩小发展中国家与发达国家之间的收入差距、缓解收入不平等问题提供了宝贵的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does e‐commerce infrastructure increase enterprise productivity? Evidence from China's e‐commerce demonstration city
This study leverages the National E‐commerce Demonstration City Pilot (NEDC) as a quasi‐natural experiment in e‐commerce infrastructure development. Utilising panel data from non‐financial firms listed on China's A‐share market from 2005 to 2022, we pioneered employ a multi‐period difference‐in‐differences (DID) approach to explore the direct and indirect effects of e‐commerce infrastructure on total factor productivity (TFP). Our findings reveal that: (1) The NEDC initiative significantly enhances firm‐level TFP. This result remains robust after addressing endogeneity issues through IV‐2SLS and propensity score matching and difference in differences methods and undergoing a series of robustness tests. (2) Channels tests indicate that the NEDC policy indirectly boosts firm TFP primarily by fostering technological innovation and augmenting human capital. (3) Heterogeneity analysis demonstrates that the NEDC policy effectively stimulates TFP growth in state‐owned enterprises, firms with high equity concentration, manufacturing and low‐tech industry firms. The policy's impact is more pronounced in cities with high administrative levels, in the eastern and central cities, and in cities with superior traditional infrastructure. The empirical evidence provided by this study not only supports the role of e‐commerce infrastructure in driving economic growth but also offers valuable insights for bridging the income disparity between developing and developed nations, and mitigating income inequality.
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