Christian Rominger, Andreas Fink, Corinna M Perchtold-Stefan, Andreas R Schwerdtfeger
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引用次数: 0
摘要
在我们的日常生活中,我们会在随机的安排和不相关的事件中感知到有意义的模式,这种现象被称为 "apophenia"、"synchronicity "或 "有意义的巧合体验"。然而,我们还不知道是什么预测了这种现象。为了研究这个问题,我们重新分析了两项每日日记研究的合并数据集,共有 169 名参与者(平均年龄 29.95 岁;54 名男性)参与了研究。我们调查了积极或消极情绪(PA、NA)是否会预测第二天有意义的巧合的数量(反之亦然)。通过交叉滞后多层次建模方法(贝叶斯估计法),我们评估了数据与两个理论假设中哪一个更为吻合。首先,如果有意义的巧合是由更宽广、更灵活的思维方式促成的,那么 PA 应该可以正向预测第二天有意义的巧合。然而,如果有意义巧合的经历是一种应对消极情绪状态的策略,那么 NA 就应该预测第二天有意义巧合的经历。为了支持更灵活的思维方式,我们发现 PA 预测了第二天感知到的巧合的数量。我们没有发现 NA 有任何影响,因此没有证据证明有意义巧合的应对机制假设。
Today's positive affect predicts tomorrow's experience of meaningful coincidences: a cross-lagged multilevel analysis.
The perception of meaningful patterns in random arrangements and unrelated events takes place in our everyday lives, coined apophenia, synchronicity, or the experience of meaningful coincidences. However, we do not know yet what predicts this phenomenon. To investigate this, we re-analyzed a combined data set of two daily diary studies with a total of N = 169 participants (mean age 29.95 years; 54 men). We investigated if positive or negative affect (PA, NA) predicts the number of meaningful coincidences on the following day (or vice versa). By means of a cross-lagged multilevel modelling approach (Bayesian estimation) we evaluated with which of two theoretical assumptions the data are more in line. First, if meaningful coincidences are facilitated by a broader and more flexible thinking style, PA should positively predict meaningful coincidences at the following day. However, if the experience of meaningful coincidences signifies a strategy to cope with negative feeling states, NA should predict the experience of meaningful coincidences during the following day. In favour of a more flexible thinking style, we found that PA predicted the number of perceived coincidences the following day. We did not find any effect for NA, and therefore, no evidence arguing for the coping mechanism hypothesis of meaningful coincidences.
期刊介绍:
Cognition & Emotion is devoted to the study of emotion, especially to those aspects of emotion related to cognitive processes. The journal aims to bring together work on emotion undertaken by researchers in cognitive, social, clinical, and developmental psychology, neuropsychology, and cognitive science. Examples of topics appropriate for the journal include the role of cognitive processes in emotion elicitation, regulation, and expression; the impact of emotion on attention, memory, learning, motivation, judgements, and decisions.