中国 COVID-19 疫情早期爆发期间城市公交系统控制策略的效果调查:对 211 个城市的调查

IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION
Liye Zhang , Jukong Li , Hao Shi , Jie Song
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引用次数: 0

摘要

大规模的COVID-19收紧政策是否有助于减缓COVID-19感染率的上升,目前仍存在争议。因此,本文提取了中国211个城市的城市公交控制策略文本数据,并记录了每个城市每天每百万人中的活动确诊病例。使用 SPSS 进行了 Kruskal-Wallis 单因素方差分析(K 样本)和相应的配对比较。分析表明,大流行期间,中国南北方在公共交通控制方面存在明显的地区差异。此外,根据相同人口水平的经济规模,对所有控制强度高的城市和一些控制强度低的城市进行了比较。我们发现,在一些比较城市的两对比较中,确诊 COVID-19 的人数没有明显差异,这说明一些城市的公共交通控制策略过于严格,值得商榷。成对比较的热图显示,COVID-19 确诊病例数无显著差异的城市对占同一区间的许多城市群。此外,在人口基数相同的城市对比分析中,COVID-19 确诊病例数统计分析结果无显著差异的比例随着城市经济水平的降低而增加。这一规律反映了在 COVID-19 大流行期间,一些经济欠发达城市过于严格的公共汽车控制策略。因此,面对未来大规模的疫情,政策应根据实际情况制定控制策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigating the Effects of Control Strategies of Urban Bus Systems during the early outbreak of COVID-19 epidemic in China: a Survey of 211 cities

Whether large-scale COVID-19 tightening policies related to public transit contribute to slower rises in COVID-19 infection rates remains debatable. Therefore, this article extracted text data on urban bus control strategies in 211 Chinese cities and recorded active confirmed cases per million persons per day in each city. The Kruskal-Wallis one-way ANOVA test (K samples) and accompanying pairwise comparisons were conducted using SPSS. Analysis shows that there are noticeable regional differences in the northern and southern parts of China during the pandemic in the control of public transit. Furthermore, based on the economic scale of the same population level, a comparison was made between all cities with high control intensity and some with low control intensity. We find no significant differences in the number of people diagnosed with COVID-19 between the two pairs of some of the compared cities, indicating that the public transport control strategies of some cities are overly strict and questionable. The heat maps of pairwise comparisons show that city pairs with no significant differences in the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases account for many city clusters in the same interval. Additionally, in the comparative analysis of cities with the same population base, the proportion of no significant difference in the statistical analysis results of the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases increased with the decrease of the economic level of the cities. This pattern reflects the overly strict bus control strategies of some less economically developed cities during the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, in the face of large-scale epidemics in the future, policies should formulate control strategies based on reality.

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CiteScore
5.00
自引率
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发文量
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