欧洲央行新闻发布会声明:得出欧元区新的情绪指标

IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Dimitrios Kanelis, Pierre L. Siklos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们分析了欧洲央行行长的介绍性发言,并基于一种新方法得出了欧元区的新情绪指标。为了评估情感,我们使用了一种大型语言模型,即 FinBERT,它可以对经济和金融相关文本数据的语言情感进行分类。我们发现,欧洲央行在讲话中表达的货币政策情绪受经济前景和欧元区宏观经济状况的影响,对理事会决策后新闻发布会内容的形成起着重要作用。相比之下,有关金融稳定的讲话情绪对介绍性声明的影响不大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The ECB press conference statement: deriving a new sentiment indicator for the euro area

We analyse the introductory statements of the ECB president and derive new sentiment indicators for the euro area based on a novel approach. To evaluate sentiment, we utilize a Large Language Model, namely FinBERT, which classifies the verbal sentiment of economics and finance-related textual data. We find that the ECB's conveyed sentiment about monetary policy, which is influenced by the economic outlook and the state of the euro area macroeconomy as expressed in speeches, plays a significant role in shaping the content of press conferences following a governing council decision. In contrast, speech sentiment regarding financial stability does not significantly influence introductory statements.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
6.90%
发文量
143
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