{"title":"欧洲央行新闻发布会声明:得出欧元区新的情绪指标","authors":"Dimitrios Kanelis, Pierre L. Siklos","doi":"10.1002/ijfe.2940","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We analyse the introductory statements of the ECB president and derive new sentiment indicators for the euro area based on a novel approach. To evaluate sentiment, we utilize a Large Language Model, namely FinBERT, which classifies the verbal sentiment of economics and finance-related textual data. We find that the ECB's conveyed sentiment about monetary policy, which is influenced by the economic outlook and the state of the euro area macroeconomy as expressed in speeches, plays a significant role in shaping the content of press conferences following a governing council decision. In contrast, speech sentiment regarding financial stability does not significantly influence introductory statements.</p>","PeriodicalId":47461,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Finance & Economics","volume":"30 1","pages":"652-664"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The ECB press conference statement: deriving a new sentiment indicator for the euro area\",\"authors\":\"Dimitrios Kanelis, Pierre L. Siklos\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/ijfe.2940\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>We analyse the introductory statements of the ECB president and derive new sentiment indicators for the euro area based on a novel approach. To evaluate sentiment, we utilize a Large Language Model, namely FinBERT, which classifies the verbal sentiment of economics and finance-related textual data. We find that the ECB's conveyed sentiment about monetary policy, which is influenced by the economic outlook and the state of the euro area macroeconomy as expressed in speeches, plays a significant role in shaping the content of press conferences following a governing council decision. In contrast, speech sentiment regarding financial stability does not significantly influence introductory statements.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":47461,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Finance & Economics\",\"volume\":\"30 1\",\"pages\":\"652-664\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-01-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Finance & Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ijfe.2940\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Finance & Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ijfe.2940","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
The ECB press conference statement: deriving a new sentiment indicator for the euro area
We analyse the introductory statements of the ECB president and derive new sentiment indicators for the euro area based on a novel approach. To evaluate sentiment, we utilize a Large Language Model, namely FinBERT, which classifies the verbal sentiment of economics and finance-related textual data. We find that the ECB's conveyed sentiment about monetary policy, which is influenced by the economic outlook and the state of the euro area macroeconomy as expressed in speeches, plays a significant role in shaping the content of press conferences following a governing council decision. In contrast, speech sentiment regarding financial stability does not significantly influence introductory statements.