南盟国家的货币政策与经济增长

IF 9.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS
Ram Prasad Gajurel
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在地方和全球经济中,关于经济政策的辩论仍在继续。所有的学者都对货币和财政政策及其对经济的影响感兴趣。本研究试图探讨是否有证据表明南盟国家的经济增长可以受到货币政策的影响。本研究采用面板自回归分布滞后(ARDL)的Pedroni协整方法和混合平均群(PMG),研究了1983 - 2020年南盟六国货币政策与经济增长的关系。最近的研究解决了全球东南地区背景下的经验差距。总体而言,程式化的事实表明,货币政策是因果联系的,从长远来看,货币政策在加速经济增长方面是成功的。货币供应量是研究中最关键的变量之一,它与货币主义者认为货币政策在短期内过于有效的说法相矛盾。该研究还指出,货币贬值对短期和长期增长都是一个严重问题,而通货膨胀只是一个短期问题。在南盟国家,向私营部门提供国内信贷有利于短期经济增长,尽管它没有长期利益。因此,南盟各国的货币当局和政府应保持足够的货币供应水平,采取出口导向的货币升值政策,促进对私营部门的短期国内信贷,稳定短期价格水平,以加速经济增长和发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Monetary Policy and Economic Growth of SAARC Countries
The debate on economic policies continues in both the local and global economies. All of the academics are interested in monetary and fiscal policy and how it affects the economy. The study attempts to explore whether there is any evidence that the SAARC countries' economic growth can be influenced by monetary policy. The study applies the Pedroni cointegration approach for panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) with the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) to study the relationship between monetary policy and economic growth of six SAARC nations over the period from 1983 to 2020. The recent study addresses the empirical gap within the context of the southeastern regions of the globe. Overall stylized facts show that monetary policy is causally linked and successful in the long run to accelerate economic growth. Money supply, one of the most crucial variables under study, contradicts the monetarist claim that monetary policy is too effective in the short term. The study also notes that currency devaluation is a serious concern for both short- and long-term growth while inflation is only a short-term one. In the SAARC countries, domestic credit to the private sector is better for short-term economic growth even though it has no long-term benefits. Thus, monetary authorities and the government of the SAARC nations should maintain an adequate level of money supply, adopt an export-led policy to appreciate currency, promote short-run domestic credit to the private sector, and stabilize the short-term price level to accelerate economic growth and development.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
22.40
自引率
5.20%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: The Journal of Management (JOM) aims to publish rigorous empirical and theoretical research articles that significantly contribute to the field of management. It is particularly interested in papers that have a strong impact on the overall management discipline. JOM also encourages the submission of novel ideas and fresh perspectives on existing research. The journal covers a wide range of areas, including business strategy and policy, organizational behavior, human resource management, organizational theory, entrepreneurship, and research methods. It provides a platform for scholars to present their work on these topics and fosters intellectual discussion and exchange in these areas.
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