评估尼日利亚股市发展对国内生产总值的影响

N. Ofor, G. Onuigwe
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摘要

该研究考察了尼日利亚股票市场从1990年到2020年的演变,以确定是否存在任何相关性,以及它如何有助于经济发展。本研究采用事后调查方法。从1990年到2020年,选取股票市值和年末GDP作为样本。本文采用股票市场换手率和股票市值交易占GDP的比例作为衡量股票市场发展的指标。r平方值(0.705770)表明,模型中的外生变量(股票市场价值交易率(VTR)和股票市场换手率(TOVR))解释了国内生产总值(gdp)总波动的71%。f统计量(6.853455)表明整个模型正确且显著地解释了现象。长期回归估计的证据表明,国内生产总值对股票市场价值交易率(VTR)和股票市场换手率(TOVR)有相当大的正向影响。因此,尼日利亚股市流动性差,交易成本高。低流动性意味着投资者将很难将他们的股票转换为现金。为了改善流动性,建议审查尼日利亚股票市场的交易成本和用来确定股票价格的方法,除其他外,使筹集资金更容易负担得起。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ASSESSMENT OF NIGERIA STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT ON GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
The study looked at the evolution of the Nigerian stock market from 1990 to 2020 to determine whether there was any correlation and how it could aid in economic development. Expost facto research was employed for this study. From 1990 through 2020, a sample of stock market capitalisation and GDP at year-end is chosen. Stock market turnover ratio and stock market value traded ratio versus GDP were employed as measures of stock market development in the study. The R-squared value (0.705770) suggests that the exogenous variables (Stock Market Value Traded Ratio (VTR) and Stock Market Turnover Ratio (TOVR) in the model explain 71 percent of the total fluctuations in Gross Domestic Product. The Fstatistic (6.853455) shows that the entire model correctly and significantly explains the phenomena. The evidence from the long-run regression estimate demonstrates that Gross Domestic Product has a considerable positive effect on the Stock Market Value Traded Ratio (VTR) and Stock Market Turnover Ratio (TOVR). The Nigerian stock market is hence illiquid and has a high transaction cost. Low liquidity means that investors will have a harder time converting their stocks to cash. It is recommended that, in order to improve liquidity, the cost of transactions in the Nigerian stock market and the methodology used to determine stock prices be reviewed, among other things, to make raising capital more affordable.
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