气候政策的不确定性与企业投资

IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Tao Huang, Zeyu Sun
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了中国气候政策不确定性与企业投资之间的关系。我们根据《人民日报》和《光明日报》这两份内地主要报纸的新闻,对中国气候政策的不确定性进行了量化。以 2003 年 1 月至 2021 年 9 月的中国 A 股公司为样本,我们发现了强有力的证据,表明当企业面临较高的气候政策不确定性时,其投资水平较低。具体而言,我们还发现这种负面影响对国有企业、碳密集型企业和风险承担能力较低的企业更为显著。研究结果还证明,气候政策不确定性对企业投资的影响可持续长达三个季度,并在一年内消失。最后,我们提出,投资不可逆转性是气候政策不确定性阻碍投资的可信渠道。总之,这些结果揭示了气候政策不确定性的实际影响和投资的决定因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate policy uncertainty and firm investment

This article investigates the relation between climate policy uncertainty and firm investment in China. We quantify climate policy uncertainty in China based on the news from two leading mainland newspapers: the Renmin Daily and the Guangming Daily. Using the sample of Chinese A-share companies from January 2003 to September 2021, we find robust evidence that firms exhibit lower levels of investment when facing to higher climate policy uncertainty. Specifically, we also show that this negative effect is more profound for state-owned enterprises, carbon-intensive enterprises, and enterprises with lower risk taking. The results also give evidence that the effect of climate policy uncertainty on firm investment can last up to three quarters and disappear within 1 year. Finally, we propose that investment irreversibility is plausible channel through which climate policy uncertainty discourages investment. Overall, these results shed light on the real effects of climate policy uncertainty and the determinants of investment.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
6.90%
发文量
143
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