{"title":"Predicting academic success in the first semester of nursing education","authors":"Traci Gonzales MSN, APRN, CPNP-PC, Melissa Ethington PhD, RN, Erica Yu PhD, RN, FNAP, Stanley Cron MSPH, Cathy Rozmus PhD, FNAP, FAAN","doi":"10.1016/j.teln.2026.05.008","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Nursing shortages have increased pressure on nursing programs to enroll more students and improve retention/graduation rates. Identifying predictors of student success is essential to enrolling candidates most likely to complete the program.</div></div><div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>Determine whether admission criteria predict first-semester success in a baccalaureate nursing program.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Retrospective analysis at a large public university using data from 104 first-semester nursing students. Students categorized as regular admission (standard criteria) and nonregular admission (alternative criteria). Independent <em>t</em> tests, chi-square tests, and logistic regression were used to identify predictors of successful academic progression to the second semester.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Students in the regular admission group were significantly more likely to progress to second semester (<em>p</em> = .002). Higher Health Education Systems Inc. A2 math scores and nursing prerequisite grade point average were predictors of success. When Health Education Systems Inc. A2 scores were excluded, regular admission criteria remained a predictor.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Nursing prerequisite grade point average and Health Education Systems Inc. math scores are predictors of early academic success. Data-driven admission practices should be evaluated and refined to improve retention.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46287,"journal":{"name":"Teaching and Learning in Nursing","volume":"21 4","pages":"Pages 352-356"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5000,"publicationDate":"2026-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Teaching and Learning in Nursing","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S155730872600137X","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/6/3 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"NURSING","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background
Nursing shortages have increased pressure on nursing programs to enroll more students and improve retention/graduation rates. Identifying predictors of student success is essential to enrolling candidates most likely to complete the program.
Purpose
Determine whether admission criteria predict first-semester success in a baccalaureate nursing program.
Methods
Retrospective analysis at a large public university using data from 104 first-semester nursing students. Students categorized as regular admission (standard criteria) and nonregular admission (alternative criteria). Independent t tests, chi-square tests, and logistic regression were used to identify predictors of successful academic progression to the second semester.
Results
Students in the regular admission group were significantly more likely to progress to second semester (p = .002). Higher Health Education Systems Inc. A2 math scores and nursing prerequisite grade point average were predictors of success. When Health Education Systems Inc. A2 scores were excluded, regular admission criteria remained a predictor.
Conclusion
Nursing prerequisite grade point average and Health Education Systems Inc. math scores are predictors of early academic success. Data-driven admission practices should be evaluated and refined to improve retention.
期刊介绍:
Teaching and Learning in Nursing is the Official Journal of the National Organization of Associate Degree Nursing. The journal is dedicated to the advancement of Associate Degree Nursing education and practice, and promotes collaboration in charting the future of health care education and delivery. Topics include: - Managing Different Learning Styles - New Faculty Mentoring - Legal Issues - Research - Legislative Issues - Instructional Design Strategies - Leadership, Management Roles - Unique Funding for Programs and Faculty