The direction of fit of affective forecasting

IF 1.4 1区哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY

PHILOSOPHICAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-06-06 DOI:10.1007/s11098-026-02565-3

Bence Nanay

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Affective forecasting is the mental action of predicting what kind of emotional state we will be in at some future time. Affective forecasting plays a crucial role in our decision-making, emotion regulation and in our life in general. This paper is about the direction of fit of affective forecasting. I argue that affective forecasting, unlike other forecasts, for example, the weather forecast, does not have a mind-to-world, but rather a world-to-mind direction of fit: it prescribes, not describes. The consequences of this way of thinking about affective forecasting are considered for philosophical questions about decision-making.

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情感预测的拟合方向

情感预测是预测我们在未来某个时间会处于什么样的情绪状态的心理活动。情感预测在我们的决策、情绪调节和生活中起着至关重要的作用。本文研究的是情感预测的拟合方向。我认为，与其他预测（例如天气预报）不同，情感预测不具有心灵对世界的契合，而是具有世界对心灵的契合方向：它是规定，而不是描述。这种关于情感预测的思考方式的后果被认为是关于决策的哲学问题。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

PHILOSOPHICAL STUDIES PHILOSOPHY-

CiteScore

2.60

自引率

7.70%

发文量

127

期刊介绍： Philosophical Studies was founded in 1950 by Herbert Feigl and Wilfrid Sellars to provide a periodical dedicated to work in analytic philosophy. The journal remains devoted to the publication of papers in exclusively analytic philosophy. Papers applying formal techniques to philosophical problems are welcome. The principal aim is to publish articles that are models of clarity and precision in dealing with significant philosophical issues. It is intended that readers of the journal will be kept abreast of the central issues and problems of contemporary analytic philosophy. Double-blind review procedure The journal follows a double-blind reviewing procedure. Authors are therefore requested to place their name and affiliation on a separate page. Self-identifying citations and references in the article text should either be avoided or left blank when manuscripts are first submitted. Authors are responsible for reinserting self-identifying citations and references when manuscripts are prepared for final submission.