One-Step Estimation of Differentiable Hilbert-Valued Parameters.

IF 3.7 1区 数学 Q1 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
Annals of Statistics Pub Date : 2024-08-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-03 DOI:10.1214/24-aos2403
Alex Luedtke, Incheoul Chung
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

We present estimators for smooth Hilbert-valued parameters, where smoothness is characterized by a pathwise differentiability condition. When the parameter space is a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, we provide a means to obtain efficient, root-n rate estimators and corresponding confidence sets. These estimators correspond to generalizations of cross-fitted one-step estimators based on Hilbert-valued efficient influence functions. We give theoretical guarantees even when arbitrary estimators of nuisance functions are used, including those based on machine learning techniques. We show that these results naturally extend to Hilbert spaces that lack a reproducing kernel, as long as the parameter has an efficient influence function. However, we also uncover the unfortunate fact that, when there is no reproducing kernel, many interesting parameters fail to have an efficient influence function, even though they are pathwise differentiable. To handle these cases, we propose a regularized one-step estimator and associated confidence sets. We also show that pathwise differentiability, which is a central requirement of our approach, holds in many cases. Specifically, we provide multiple examples of pathwise differentiable parameters and develop corresponding estimators and confidence sets. Among these examples, four are particularly relevant to ongoing research by the causal inference community: the counterfactual density function, dose-response function, conditional average treatment effect function, and counterfactual kernel mean embedding.

可微hilbert值参数的一步估计。
我们给出了光滑hilbert值参数的估计,其中光滑性由路径可微条件表征。当参数空间为再现核希尔伯特空间时,我们提供了一种获得有效的n根率估计量和相应的置信集的方法。这些估计量对应于基于hilbert值有效影响函数的交叉拟合一步估计量的推广。我们给出了理论上的保证,即使使用了任意的干扰函数估计,包括那些基于机器学习技术的估计。我们证明,只要参数具有有效的影响函数,这些结果自然地扩展到缺乏再现核的希尔伯特空间。然而,我们也发现了一个不幸的事实,即当没有再生核时,许多有趣的参数无法具有有效的影响函数,即使它们是路径可微的。为了处理这些情况,我们提出了一个正则化的一步估计量和相关的置信集。我们还证明了路径可微性,这是我们方法的核心要求,在许多情况下是成立的。具体来说,我们提供了路径可微参数的多个例子,并给出了相应的估计量和置信集。在这些例子中,有四个与因果推理界正在进行的研究特别相关:反事实密度函数、剂量响应函数、条件平均处理效果函数和反事实核平均嵌入。
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来源期刊
Annals of Statistics
Annals of Statistics 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
9.30
自引率
8.90%
发文量
119
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Annals of Statistics aim to publish research papers of highest quality reflecting the many facets of contemporary statistics. Primary emphasis is placed on importance and originality, not on formalism. The journal aims to cover all areas of statistics, especially mathematical statistics and applied & interdisciplinary statistics. Of course many of the best papers will touch on more than one of these general areas, because the discipline of statistics has deep roots in mathematics, and in substantive scientific fields.
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