{"title":"Towards a Unified Theory for Semiparametric Data Fusion with Individual-Level Data.","authors":"Ellen Graham, Marco Carone, Andrea Rotnitzky","doi":"10.1214/25-aos2609","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We consider inference about a finite-dimensional parameter integrating samples from independent sources. A recently developed theory considers scenarios where sources align with subsets of the conditional distributions of a single factorization of the joint target distribution. While this theory applies in many settings, it falls short in important data fusion problems, such as two-sample instrumental variable analysis, settings that integrate data from epidemiological studies with diverse designs, and studies with mismeasured variables supplemented by external validation studies. In this paper, we derive a comprehensive theory that, in particular, covers these settings by allowing the integration of sources aligned with conditional distributions that do not correspond to a single factorization of the target distribution. We provide a universal characterization of the influence functions of regular and asymptotically linear estimators and the efficient influence function of a target parameter, irrespective of the parameter of interest or the statistical model for the target distribution, thus paving the way for a unified theory for machine-learning debiased, semiparametric efficient estimation.</p>","PeriodicalId":8032,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Statistics","volume":"54 3","pages":"1398-1424"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7000,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13308689/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Annals of Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1214/25-aos2609","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/6/18 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We consider inference about a finite-dimensional parameter integrating samples from independent sources. A recently developed theory considers scenarios where sources align with subsets of the conditional distributions of a single factorization of the joint target distribution. While this theory applies in many settings, it falls short in important data fusion problems, such as two-sample instrumental variable analysis, settings that integrate data from epidemiological studies with diverse designs, and studies with mismeasured variables supplemented by external validation studies. In this paper, we derive a comprehensive theory that, in particular, covers these settings by allowing the integration of sources aligned with conditional distributions that do not correspond to a single factorization of the target distribution. We provide a universal characterization of the influence functions of regular and asymptotically linear estimators and the efficient influence function of a target parameter, irrespective of the parameter of interest or the statistical model for the target distribution, thus paving the way for a unified theory for machine-learning debiased, semiparametric efficient estimation.
期刊介绍:
The Annals of Statistics aim to publish research papers of highest quality reflecting the many facets of contemporary statistics. Primary emphasis is placed on importance and originality, not on formalism. The journal aims to cover all areas of statistics, especially mathematical statistics and applied & interdisciplinary statistics. Of course many of the best papers will touch on more than one of these general areas, because the discipline of statistics has deep roots in mathematics, and in substantive scientific fields.