Policy synergies outweigh trade-offs for NH3 and N2O co-control in China

IF 24.7 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
Fangming Jiang, Zhang Wen, Yixuan Zheng, Zhulin Qi, Wenxin Cao, Yuxi Liu, Chuchu Chen, Yueyi Feng, Xuying Wang, Chenglin Yun, Wu Yang, Jinyu He, Wei Liu, Yamei Sun, Zechen Zhang, Jinsong Deng, Jinnan Wang, Yu Lei
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Abstract

Controlling agricultural ammonia (NH3) and nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions is vital for air quality and climate goals, yet policy synergies and trade-offs in mitigating these reactive nitrogen (Nr) remain unclear. Here, through an integrated framework combining high-resolution emission inventories with policy-specific scenario analysis, we evaluate China’s national agricultural policies for abating Nr emissions (2000–2022) and estimate synergies between NH3 and N2O abatements. China’s NH3 and N2O emissions peaked around 2015 and subsequently declined by 16% and 30% by 2022, respectively. Post-2015 synergistic achievements were driven mainly by fertilizer-reduction policies (~90% of abatements) with a sixfold increase in their synergetic level. Manure-management and straw-utilization policies showed limited overall effectiveness and trade-offs, though post-2015 synergies emerged in non-pastoral regions, highlighting spatial and sectoral heterogeneity. Optimized full-chain livestock management could reverse the overall trade-offs in this sector in the short term, achieving synergetic levels comparable to the fertilizer-reduction policies. Targeted strategies to simultaneously reduce NH3 and N2O emissions in agriculture are urgently needed. By combining high-resolution emissions inventories with policy scenario analysis, this study evaluates China’s national policies for abating Nr emissions and synergies between NH3 and N2O abatements.

Abstract Image

Abstract Image

在中国,政策协同效应大于NH3和N2O共同控制的权衡
控制农业氨(NH3)和氧化亚氮(N2O)的排放对空气质量和气候目标至关重要,但减少这些活性氮(Nr)的政策协同效应和权衡仍不清楚。本文通过高分辨率排放清单和具体政策情景分析相结合的综合框架,评估了中国2000-2022年减少Nr排放的国家农业政策,并估算了NH3和N2O减排之间的协同效应。中国的NH3和N2O排放量在2015年左右达到峰值,随后到2022年分别下降了16%和30%。2015年后的协同成果主要是由减肥政策(约90%的减排)推动的,其协同水平提高了6倍。粪肥管理和秸秆利用政策显示出有限的总体有效性和权衡,尽管2015年后在非牧区出现了协同效应,突出了空间和部门异质性。优化的全链条畜牧业管理可以在短期内扭转该部门的整体权衡,实现与减肥政策相当的协同效应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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CiteScore
28.50
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