Modeling the dynamical process of behavioral contagion in human crowds during evacuation

IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL
Wenhan Wu , Wenfeng Yi
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Behavioral contagion, the process by which individuals adopt behaviors from neighbors, plays a critical role in crowd evacuations by shaping collective decision-making and movement patterns. Despite its observable and tractable nature compared to emotional contagion, however, behavioral contagion remains underexplored in crowd models, with its propagation mechanisms and effects on evacuation dynamics yet to be systematically explored. To address these gaps, we propose a behavioral contagion-based social force model (BC-SFM) that explicitly couples contagion mechanisms with movement behaviors. Numerical simulations show that BC-SFM outperforms the classical SFM by enabling faster and more synchronized changes in escape behaviors, highlighting the performance superiority of our model in characterizing behavioral contagion dynamics. The intensity and heterogeneity of interaction radius and response threshold jointly determine the spatial–temporal dynamics of behavioral contagion, with their effects also varying across different crowd densities. Moreover, four typical contagion mechanisms, shaped by distinct combinations of perceptual capacity and individual responsiveness, significantly affect evacuation dynamics, particularly in terms of efficiency and congestion. These findings demonstrate the pivotal impact of behavioral contagion on emergent evacuation outcomes, offering theoretical foundations for advancing predictive models and adaptive management strategies.
疏散过程中人群行为传染的动态过程建模
行为传染,即个体从邻居那里接受行为的过程,通过塑造集体决策和行动模式,在人群疏散中起着关键作用。尽管与情绪传染相比,行为传染具有可观察和可处理的性质,但在人群模型中对行为传染的研究还不够充分,其传播机制和对疏散动力学的影响还有待系统探讨。为了解决这些差距,我们提出了一个基于行为传染的社会力模型(BC-SFM),该模型明确地将传染机制与运动行为结合起来。数值模拟结果表明,BC-SFM模型比经典SFM模型更快速、更同步地改变了逃跑行为,突出了我们的模型在描述行为传染动力学方面的性能优势。互动半径和反应阈值的强度和异质性共同决定了行为传染的时空动态,其影响在不同人群密度下也存在差异。此外,四种典型的传染机制,由感知能力和个体反应能力的不同组合形成,显著影响疏散动态,特别是在效率和拥堵方面。这些发现证明了行为传染对紧急疏散结果的关键影响,为推进预测模型和适应性管理策略提供了理论基础。
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来源期刊
Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Reliability Engineering & System Safety 管理科学-工程:工业
CiteScore
15.20
自引率
39.50%
发文量
621
审稿时长
67 days
期刊介绍: Elsevier publishes Reliability Engineering & System Safety in association with the European Safety and Reliability Association and the Safety Engineering and Risk Analysis Division. The international journal is devoted to developing and applying methods to enhance the safety and reliability of complex technological systems, like nuclear power plants, chemical plants, hazardous waste facilities, space systems, offshore and maritime systems, transportation systems, constructed infrastructure, and manufacturing plants. The journal normally publishes only articles that involve the analysis of substantive problems related to the reliability of complex systems or present techniques and/or theoretical results that have a discernable relationship to the solution of such problems. An important aim is to balance academic material and practical applications.
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