{"title":"Reading literacy decline in Europe: Disentangling school closures and out-of-school learning conditions during the COVID-19 pandemic","authors":"Ulrich Ludewig , Rolf Strietholt , Nele McElvany","doi":"10.1016/j.learninstruc.2025.102150","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>This study examines the decline in average reading literacy among elementary school students in European countries between 2016 and 2021, as documented by the Progress in International Reading Literacy Study (PIRLS). This period was characterized by disruptions caused by COVID-19-related school closures and changes in student composition, influenced by societal trends found in many European countries.</div></div><div><h3>Aims</h3><div>We estimated trends in reading literacy adjusted for changes in student composition to assess the relationship between the duration of school closures and school-related learning loss.</div></div><div><h3>Sample</h3><div>We utilized data from 2016 to 2021 with a sample of <em>N</em> = 187,386 students from 18 European countries/regions participating in the PIRLS; this involved a representative sample of approximately 5000 fourth-graders per year and country/region (Age <em>M</em> = 10.28, <em>SD</em> = 0.86; 49.50 % female).</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Our analytical approach employed propensity score weighting to balance changes in student composition between the 2016 and 2021 student cohorts.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Our findings revealed changes in out-of-school learning conditions across most of the 18 countries/regions. The average adjusted decline in reading literacy across all 18 European countries/regions was significantly lower than the observed decline, but it remained substantial. The expected decline was associated with the duration of COVID-related school closures, estimated at −0.0015 <em>SDs</em> per day.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>This study sheds new light on how student composition and school-related factors influence trends in reading literacy. School closures and changes in the composition of student cohorts played a substantial role in the decline in reading literacy observed between 2016 and 2021.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48357,"journal":{"name":"Learning and Instruction","volume":"98 ","pages":"Article 102150"},"PeriodicalIF":4.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Learning and Instruction","FirstCategoryId":"95","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095947522500074X","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"教育学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background
This study examines the decline in average reading literacy among elementary school students in European countries between 2016 and 2021, as documented by the Progress in International Reading Literacy Study (PIRLS). This period was characterized by disruptions caused by COVID-19-related school closures and changes in student composition, influenced by societal trends found in many European countries.
Aims
We estimated trends in reading literacy adjusted for changes in student composition to assess the relationship between the duration of school closures and school-related learning loss.
Sample
We utilized data from 2016 to 2021 with a sample of N = 187,386 students from 18 European countries/regions participating in the PIRLS; this involved a representative sample of approximately 5000 fourth-graders per year and country/region (Age M = 10.28, SD = 0.86; 49.50 % female).
Methods
Our analytical approach employed propensity score weighting to balance changes in student composition between the 2016 and 2021 student cohorts.
Results
Our findings revealed changes in out-of-school learning conditions across most of the 18 countries/regions. The average adjusted decline in reading literacy across all 18 European countries/regions was significantly lower than the observed decline, but it remained substantial. The expected decline was associated with the duration of COVID-related school closures, estimated at −0.0015 SDs per day.
Conclusions
This study sheds new light on how student composition and school-related factors influence trends in reading literacy. School closures and changes in the composition of student cohorts played a substantial role in the decline in reading literacy observed between 2016 and 2021.
期刊介绍:
As an international, multi-disciplinary, peer-refereed journal, Learning and Instruction provides a platform for the publication of the most advanced scientific research in the areas of learning, development, instruction and teaching. The journal welcomes original empirical investigations. The papers may represent a variety of theoretical perspectives and different methodological approaches. They may refer to any age level, from infants to adults and to a diversity of learning and instructional settings, from laboratory experiments to field studies. The major criteria in the review and the selection process concern the significance of the contribution to the area of learning and instruction, and the rigor of the study.