Unveiling the villain: Credit supply and the debt trap

IF 2.1 2区经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE

Journal of Empirical Finance Pub Date : 2025-01-31 DOI:10.1016/j.jempfin.2025.101592

Shun Fu , Emma Li , Li Liao , Zhengwei Wang , Hongyu Xiang

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Based on unique data containing the loan history and online consumption information of cash loan borrowers, we apply an exogenous credit supply shock to these borrowers and show that increased credit increases individuals' delinquency rates and reliance on cash loans. Higher credit supply increases the likelihood of a loan being overdue over 60 days by 5.7% and decreases platform exit by 33%. This effect on delinquency is significantly less prominent among individuals with greater financial literacy. Second, we demonstrate that credit expansion is positively associated with an increase in subsequent borrower consumption, particularly addictive consumption.

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来源期刊

Journal of Empirical Finance Multiple-

CiteScore

3.40

自引率

3.80%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Empirical Finance is a financial economics journal whose aim is to publish high quality articles in empirical finance. Empirical finance is interpreted broadly to include any type of empirical work in financial economics, financial econometrics, and also theoretical work with clear empirical implications, even when there is no empirical analysis. The Journal welcomes articles in all fields of finance, such as asset pricing, corporate finance, financial econometrics, banking, international finance, microstructure, behavioural finance, etc. The Editorial Team is willing to take risks on innovative research, controversial papers, and unusual approaches. We are also particularly interested in work produced by young scholars. The composition of the editorial board reflects such goals.