Resilient livelihoods in Africa’s pastoral–agropastoral transition zones will increasingly depend on heat stress adaptation and systemic change

Philip Thornton, Mario Herrero, Gerald Nelson, Dianne Mayberry
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Abstract

Pastoral–agropastoral transition zones across the African continent are projected to face crop production difficulties due to climate change. A greater emphasis on livestock production may be an appropriate response in some places. Here we explore how heat stress may impact livestock productivity and human work capacity. While adaptations can alleviate some of the challenges related to heat stress, data-driven, systemic changes and multi-stakeholder participation are needed to accommodate the complex socio-economic factors involved in shaping a vision for pastoral and agropastoral food systems and to enact local—and effective—change.

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非洲畜牧业-农牧业过渡区的弹性生计将越来越依赖于热应力适应和系统性变革
由于气候变化,预计整个非洲大陆的牧-农过渡区将面临作物生产困难。在某些地方,更加重视畜牧业生产可能是适当的应对措施。在此,我们将探讨热应激如何影响畜牧业生产和人类的工作能力。虽然适应性措施可以缓解与热应力有关的一些挑战,但还需要数据驱动的系统性变革和多方利益相关者的参与,以适应在制定牧区和农牧区粮食系统愿景时所涉及的复杂社会经济因素,并在当地进行有效的变革。
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