Stochastic two-stage multi-objective unit commitment of distributed resource energy systems considering uncertainties and unit failures

IF 9.4 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL
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Abstract

Compared to centralized generation technology, distributed energy resource systems are susceptible to energy risks caused by boundary uncertainties and unit failures. This study introduces a stochastic two-stage multi-objective optimization method to address reliability-based unit commitment issues. In the day-ahead stage, operational state and reserve capacity are determined to minimize prescheduled operation costs based on forecasted parameters. In the real-time stage, a decision-dependent stochastic reliability method is proposed to simulate outage scenarios. Reserve resources within available units are allocated to mitigate forecasting errors and unit failures. Additionally, the grid interaction ratio and penalty cost are added to restrict the depth and frequency access to the grid. Four comparative cases analyze the effects of the proposed methodology. This method innovatively achieves the simulation of stochastic multi-unit outages and delete faulty units in the operation scheme. The optimal results show that the risks of electricity and cooling supply are underestimated, while the risks of heating are overestimated, compared to N-1 reliability. Furthermore, Pareto analysis of the multi-objective problem enhances independent operational capacity through utilization of reserve resources. Grid dispatch pressure is reduced since purchased power can be used as day-ahead planning. Thus, the methodology achieves collaborative optimization of reliability with a reduction of operation costs, offering effective guidance for engineering applications.
考虑不确定性和机组故障的分布式资源能源系统的随机两阶段多目标机组承诺
与集中式发电技术相比,分布式能源资源系统容易受到边界不确定性和机组故障造成的能源风险的影响。本研究引入了一种随机两阶段多目标优化方法来解决基于可靠性的机组承诺问题。在日前阶段,根据预测参数确定运行状态和储备容量,以最大限度地降低预定运行成本。在实时阶段,提出了一种依赖于决策的随机可靠性方法,以模拟停运情景。在可用机组内分配储备资源,以减少预测误差和机组故障。此外,还增加了电网交互比和惩罚成本,以限制电网的深度和频率接入。四个对比案例分析了建议方法的效果。该方法创新性地实现了多机组随机停运的模拟,并在运行方案中删除了故障机组。最优结果表明,与 N-1 可靠性相比,供电和制冷风险被低估,而供热风险被高估。此外,多目标问题的帕累托分析通过利用储备资源提高了独立运行能力。由于外购电力可用作日前规划,电网调度压力得以减轻。因此,该方法在降低运营成本的同时实现了可靠性的协同优化,为工程应用提供了有效指导。
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来源期刊
Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Reliability Engineering & System Safety 管理科学-工程:工业
CiteScore
15.20
自引率
39.50%
发文量
621
审稿时长
67 days
期刊介绍: Elsevier publishes Reliability Engineering & System Safety in association with the European Safety and Reliability Association and the Safety Engineering and Risk Analysis Division. The international journal is devoted to developing and applying methods to enhance the safety and reliability of complex technological systems, like nuclear power plants, chemical plants, hazardous waste facilities, space systems, offshore and maritime systems, transportation systems, constructed infrastructure, and manufacturing plants. The journal normally publishes only articles that involve the analysis of substantive problems related to the reliability of complex systems or present techniques and/or theoretical results that have a discernable relationship to the solution of such problems. An important aim is to balance academic material and practical applications.
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