Optimistic versus pessimistic scenarios for future life expectancy

IF 17 Q1 CELL BIOLOGY
Dmitri Jdanov, Domantas Jasilionis
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Abstract

There was a radical increase in record human life expectancy during the 20th century. A study by Olshansky et al., however, now suggests that similar progress in the 21st century is unlikely. Although further advances will be difficult to achieve, more optimistic alternative scenarios should also be considered that rely on historical evidence and experiences of vanguard groups at the subnational level.

Abstract Image

未来预期寿命的乐观与悲观情景。
在 20 世纪,人类的预期寿命记录出现了大幅增长。然而,Olshansky 等人的研究表明,21 世纪不太可能取得类似的进展。尽管进一步的进步难以实现,但也应考虑更乐观的替代方案,即依靠历史证据和国家以下各级先锋团体的经验。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
14.70
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0.00%
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