Can digital M&A reduce the stock price crash risk?

Jingyi Guan, Yunhui Wen
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Abstract

With the rapid development of the digital economy, digital mergers and acquisitions (M&A) have become essential means for enterprises to acquire digital technologies and accelerate their digital transformation. This paper examines the impact of digital M&A on stock price crash risk using a sample of M&A transactions of China A‐share listed companies from 2010 to 2021. The results show that digital M&A can reduce stock price crash risk after M&A. Further discussions reveal that compared to non‐digital M&A, digital M&A has a better market effect, and the target firms of digital M&A generally are in different industries from the acquirers, have relatively low registered capital, have a shorter registration time, and have better financial performance. Mechanism tests indicate that during the transaction, digital M&A increases the probability of signing earnout contracts and reduces the cash payment ratio. After the transaction, digital M&A increases research and development (R&D) investment and improves R&D investment efficiency, ultimately reducing stock price crash risk. Cross‐sectional tests suggest that in situations with intense market competition, lower digitalization level of the acquirers, and higher business similarity between the acquirer and the target firm, digital M&A is more effective in reducing stock price crash risk. The findings enrich the research on the operational mechanisms and economic consequences of digital M&A, providing theoretical references for regulatory authorities to optimise M&A regulatory policies and for enterprises to assess the benefits and risks of digital M&A.
数字并购能否降低股价暴跌风险?
随着数字经济的快速发展,数字并购(M&A)已成为企业获取数字技术、加速数字化转型的必要手段。本文以2010-2021年中国A股上市公司并购交易为样本,研究了数字化并购对股价暴跌风险的影响。结果表明,数字化并购可以降低并购后的股价暴跌风险。进一步讨论发现,与非数字化并购相比,数字化并购具有更好的市场效应,数字化并购的目标公司一般与并购方处于不同行业,注册资本相对较低,注册时间较短,财务业绩较好。机制检验表明,在交易过程中,数字并购增加了签订收益合同的概率,降低了现金支付比例。交易后,数字化并购增加了研发投入,提高了研发投入效率,最终降低了股价暴跌风险。横截面检验表明,在市场竞争激烈、并购方数字化水平较低、并购方与目标公司业务相似度较高的情况下,数字化并购能更有效地降低股价暴跌风险。研究结果丰富了对数字并购的运行机制和经济后果的研究,为监管部门优化并购监管政策和企业评估数字并购的收益与风险提供了理论参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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