一种基于T-LSTNet_Markov的短期风电预测组合预测方法。

IF 1.1 3区 计算机科学 Q4 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Network-Computation in Neural Systems Pub Date : 2023-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-29 DOI:10.1080/0954898X.2023.2213756
Yongsheng Wang, Yuhao Wu, Hao Xu, Zhen Chen, Jing Gao, ZhiWei Xu, Leixiao Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风电以其可再生性和清洁性受到各国的重视,已成为各国能源发展的重点。然而,由于风电发电的不确定性和波动性,使风电并网系统面临着一些严峻的挑战。提高风电功率预测的准确性已成为当前研究的重点。因此,本文提出了一种基于T-LSTNet_markov的短期风电联合预测模型,以提高预测精度。首先,对原始数据进行数据清理和数据预处理操作。其次,在原始风电数据中使用T-LSTNet模型进行预测。最后,计算预测值与实际值之间的误差。采用k均值++方法和加权马尔可夫过程进行误差校正,得到最终预测结果。从中国内蒙古自治区的一个风电场收集的数据被选为案例研究,以证明所提出的组合模型的有效性。实证结果表明,修正误差后的预测精度有了进一步的提高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A combination predicting methodology based on T-LSTNet_Markov for short-term wind power prediction.

Wind power has been valued by countries for its renewability and cleanness and has become most of the focus of energy development in all countries. However, due to the uncertainty and volatility of wind power generation, making the grid-connected wind power system presents some serious challenges. Improving the accuracy of wind power prediction has become the focus of current research. Therefore, this paper proposes a combined short-term wind power prediction model based on T-LSTNet_markov to improve prediction accuracy. First, perform data cleaning and data preprocessing operations on the original data. Second, forecast using T-LSTNet model in original wind power data. Finally, calculate the error between the forecast value and the actual value. The k-means++ method and Weighted Markov process are used to correct errors and to get the result of the final prediction. The data that are collected from a wind farm in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, China, are selected as a case study to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed combined models. The empirical results show that the prediction accuracy is further improved after correcting errors.

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来源期刊
Network-Computation in Neural Systems
Network-Computation in Neural Systems 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
1.30%
发文量
22
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Network: Computation in Neural Systems welcomes submissions of research papers that integrate theoretical neuroscience with experimental data, emphasizing the utilization of cutting-edge technologies. We invite authors and researchers to contribute their work in the following areas: Theoretical Neuroscience: This section encompasses neural network modeling approaches that elucidate brain function. Neural Networks in Data Analysis and Pattern Recognition: We encourage submissions exploring the use of neural networks for data analysis and pattern recognition, including but not limited to image analysis and speech processing applications. Neural Networks in Control Systems: This category encompasses the utilization of neural networks in control systems, including robotics, state estimation, fault detection, and diagnosis. Analysis of Neurophysiological Data: We invite submissions focusing on the analysis of neurophysiology data obtained from experimental studies involving animals. Analysis of Experimental Data on the Human Brain: This section includes papers analyzing experimental data from studies on the human brain, utilizing imaging techniques such as MRI, fMRI, EEG, and PET. Neurobiological Foundations of Consciousness: We encourage submissions exploring the neural bases of consciousness in the brain and its simulation in machines.
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