Establishment of a scoring model for the differential diagnosis of white coat hypertension and sustained hypertension.

Objectives: This study aimed to establish a scoring model for the differential diagnosis of white coat hypertension (WCH) and sustained hypertension (SHT).

Methods: This study comprised 553 adults with elevated office blood pressure, normal renal function, and no antihypertensive medications. Through questionnaire investigation and biochemical detection, 17 parameters, such as gender and age, were acquired. WCH and SHT were distinguished by 24 h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring. The participants were randomly divided into a training set (445 cases) and a validation set (108 cases). The above parameters were screened using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and univariate logistic regression analysis in the training set. Afterward, a scoring model was constructed through multivariate logistic regression analysis.

Results: Finally, six parameters were selected, including isolated systolic hypertension, office systolic blood pressure, office diastolic blood pressure, triglyceride, serum creatinine, and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Multivariate logistic regression was used to establish a scoring model. The R2 and area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the scoring model in the training set were 0.163 and 0.705, respectively. In the validation set, the R2 of the scoring model was 0.206, and AUC was 0.718. The calibration test results revealed that the scoring model had good stability in both the training and validation sets (mean square error = 0.001, mean absolute error = 0.014; mean square error = 0.001, mean absolute error = 0.025).

Conclusion: A stable scoring model for distinguishing WCH was established, which can assist clinicians in identifying WCH at the first diagnosis.