[Ultrasound examination of the carotid artery for improved prediction of cardiovascular events and the effect of statin treatment in advanced atherosclerosis : An observational study].

Background: Advanced atherosclerosis of the carotid artery is associated with a high risk of cardiovascular diseases. It was investigated whether ultrasound provides a better prediction of cardiovascular events compared to the prospective cardiovascular Münster study (PROCAM) score and whether treatment of subjects with advanced atherosclerosis with statins improves the prognosis.

Method: Between 2009 and 2016 a total of 4482 subjects (41% women) aged 35-65 years with no signs of cardiovascular disease underwent carotid artery ultrasound examination. Total plaque area (TPA) and maximum plaque thickness were measured. The PROCAM score was used to determine the cardiovascular risk.

Results: The median follow-up time was 77 months (6.4 years) for the men and 74 months (6.2 years) for the women. Events, such as myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA), occurred in 131 (3.4%) of the 3833 subjects with complete follow-up data. The prediction of cardiovascular events was better with ultrasound than with the PROCAM score. Ultrasound predicted 79.4% of 131 events and the PROCAM score predicted 22.9%. Treatment of subjects with advanced atherosclerosis (types III, IV b) with a statin significantly improved the prognosis. The event rate was 12.6% in men and women in the treated group vs. 31.5% (p < 0.0001) in the untreated group. Mortality (from any cause) was significantly lower in men treated with statins (p = 0.0148).

Conclusion: The prediction of cardiovascular events was better with plaque burden measurements than with the PROCAM score. Treatment with statins in subjects with advanced carotid atherosclerosis (types III-IV b findings on ultrasound) significantly improved the prognosis in a nonrandomized observational study.