Incidence and Predictors of Mortality Among Patients with Traumatic Brain Injury at University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia: A Retrospective Follow-Up Study.

Background: Traumatic brain injury is a major list of health and socioeconomic problems especially in low- and middle-income countries which influences productive age groups. Differences in patient characteristics, socioeconomic status, intensive care unit admission thresholds, health-care systems, and the availability of varying numbers of intensive care unit (ICU) beds among hospitals had shown to be the causes for the variation on the incidence in mortality following traumatic brain injury across different continents. The aim of this study was to assess the incidence and predictors of mortality among patients with traumatic brain injury at University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital.

Methods: A retrospective follow-up study was conducted based on chart review and selected patient charts admitted from January, 2017 to January, 2022. Participants in the study were chosen using a simple random sample procedure that was computer generated. Data was entered with epi-data version 4.6 and analyzed using SPSS version 26. Both bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used, and in multivariate logistic regression analysis, P-value <0.05 with 95% CI was considered statistically significant.

Results: The magnitude of mortality was 28.8%. Most of the injuries were caused by assault followed by road traffic accident (RTA). About 30% of the subjects presented with severe head injuries and epidural hematoma (EDH) followed by skull fracture were the most common diagnoses on admission. The independent predictors of mortality were male sex (AOR: 6.12, CI: 1.82, 20.5), severe class injury with Glasco coma scale (GCS <9) (AOR: 5.96, CI: 2.07, 17.12), intraoperative hypoxia episode (AOR: 10.5, CI: 2.6-42.1), hyperthermia (AOR: 25, CI: 5.54, 115.16), lack of pre-hospital care (AOR: 2.64 CI: 1.6-4.2), abnormal appearance on both eyes (AOR: 13.4, CI: 5.1-34.6), in-hospital hypoxia episode and having extra-cranial concomitant injury were positively associated with mortality, while on admission, systolic blood pressure (SBP) of 100-149 (AOR: 0.086, CI: 0.016-0.46) was negatively associated with mortality.

Conclusion: The overall mortality rate was considerably high. As a result, traumatic brain injury management should be focused on modifiable factors that increase patient mortality, such as on-admission hypotension, a lack of pre-hospital care, post-operative complications, an intraoperative hypoxia episode, and hyperthermia.