墨西哥的犯罪和经济活动

Q3 Social Sciences

Norteamerica Pub Date : 2015-07-01 DOI:10.20999/nam.2015.b007

Jorge Quiroz Félix (Profesor) , Ramón Amadeo Castillo Ponce , Juan Manuel Ocegueda Hernández (Profesor) , Rogelio Varela Llamas (Profesor)

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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文使用计量经济学时间序列，考察了墨西哥暴力行为或犯罪活动与经济活动之间的关系。通过对协整和共循环方程的估计，它可以评估这些序列是否有共同的趋势，以及它们对短暂冲击的反应是否相似。研究结果表明，从长期来看，经济活动与凶杀、绑架和抢劫这三种不安全指标是共生的。它们之间的关系是负的:犯罪活动的增加与经济活力的下降有关。在短期内，有证据表明经济活动和抢劫之间存在共同的循环，但谋杀和绑架之间却没有这种循环。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Delincuencia y actividad económica en México

This article examines the relationship between acts of violence or criminal activity and economic activity in Mexico, using an econometric time series. With estimates of co-integration and common cycle equations, it assesses whether the series share a trend and if they respond similarly to transitory shocks. The results indicate that over the long term, economic activity co-integrates with three measures for insecurity: homicides, kidnappings, and robberies. The relationship among them is negative: hikes in criminal activity are associated with drops in the dynamism of the economy. For the short term, evidence exists of a common cycle between economic activity and robbery, but not for homicides and kidnappings.

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来源期刊

Norteamerica Social Sciences-Cultural Studies

CiteScore

0.50

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

20 weeks

期刊介绍： Editorial Policies Focus and Scope Section Policies Peer Review Process Open Access Policy Archiving General Criteria Ethical Guidelines Directory Indexing Editorial Bodies Editorial Board International Advisory Board Focus and Scope Norteamérica is a semiannual peer-reviewed journal regarding multi and interdisciplinary academic studies about the North America region (Mexico, United States and Canada) which consider the region itself as an object of study, along with its evolution, its individual processes and internal dynamics. An analysis of the reality of each of the three nations is thematically linked with the rest of the region. 1.- Norteamérica will publish exclusively multi- and interdisciplinary academic studies focused on the North American region (Mexico, the United States and Canada) that: a) address the region as an object of analysis: specifically, its evolution, particular processes, and internal dynamics; b) analyze the reality in each of the three nations, linking them thematically with the rest of the region; c) carry out comparative studies of the nations of North America; d) address the region and its insertion in the international context; and e) expand upon international processes and their impact within the region. 2.- Through these research perspectives, the journal will disseminate articles addressing a wide variety of general and specific issues: a) politics, economics, society and culture; b) foreign policy, trade, political systems, security, comparative politics, political philosophy and history; and c) migration, electoral processes, borders, science and technology, minorities, the environment and natural resources, education, human rights, gender, and others.