巴西羊瘙痒病的空间风险评估

IF 3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Paulo Gomes do Nascimento Corrêa , Francisco Alyson Silva Oliveira , Rivanni Jeniffer Souza Castro , Carlos Thiago Silveira Alvim Mendes de Oliveira , Glenda Lídice de Oliveira Cortez Marinho , Abelardo Silva Júnior , Ricardo Antonio Pilegi Sfaciotte , David Germano Gonçalves Schwarz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

巴西养羊是一项古老的社会经济活动,对维持收入和创造家庭就业非常重要。巴西是南美洲最大的绵羊生产国,这使它成为控制诸如痒病等传染病的战略国家。在本研究中,2005年至2021年间,巴西9个州的74例痒病被正式报告。在巴西所有地区中,南部占54.06%(40/74),中西部占28.38%(21/74),东南部占16.21%(12/74),相对发病率较高。在各州中,圣卡塔琳娜州占报告病例的35.14%,发病率(IR)为91.9 / 10万只羊。报告病例最多的年份是2012年(17例,IR = 2.11)和2017年(16例,IR = 6.17)。2017年形成了一个主要集群,仅由圣卡塔琳娜州形成,相对风险(RRs) = 313.97; 2006年至2009年期间,由马托格罗索州、南马托格罗索州、Goiás、托坎廷斯州、米纳斯吉拉斯州和圣保罗州形成了一个次要集群,RRs = 27.92。所有报告病例的州都有共同的边界,这表明该疾病有能力跨州传播。必须通过实施积极的监测措施,防止痒病在巴西蔓延。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Spatial risk assessment of ovine Scrapie in Brazil

Brazilian sheep farming is an ancient socioeconomic activity of great importance for maintaining income and generating family employment. Brazil is the largest producer of sheep in South America, making it a strategic country for the control of infectious diseases such as scrapie. In the present study, scrapie was officially reported in 74 cases in nine Brazilian states between 2005 and 2021. Among all Brazilian regions, the South with 54.06 % (40/74), the Midwest with 28.38 % (21/74), and the Southeast with 16.21 % (12/74) stood out with higher relative frequencies in the number of cases of the disease. Among the states, Santa Catarina presented 35.14 % of the notified cases, and the risk of incidence (IR) was 91.9 per 100,000 sheep. The years with the highest reported cases were 2012 (17 cases and IR = 2.11) and 2017 (16 cases and IR = 6.17). There was the formation of a primary cluster in the year 2017, formed only by the state of Santa Catarina, with relative risk (RRs) = 313.97, and a secondary cluster formed by the states of Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul, Goiás, Tocantins, Minas Gerais, and São Paulo in the period from 2006 to 2009, with RRs = 27.92. All of the states with reported cases shared borders, demonstrating the disease's ability to spread across state lines. Scrapie must be prevented from spreading in Brazil by implementing active surveillance measures.

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来源期刊
Microbial Risk Analysis
Microbial Risk Analysis Medicine-Microbiology (medical)
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
7.10%
发文量
28
审稿时长
52 days
期刊介绍: The journal Microbial Risk Analysis accepts articles dealing with the study of risk analysis applied to microbial hazards. Manuscripts should at least cover any of the components of risk assessment (risk characterization, exposure assessment, etc.), risk management and/or risk communication in any microbiology field (clinical, environmental, food, veterinary, etc.). This journal also accepts article dealing with predictive microbiology, quantitative microbial ecology, mathematical modeling, risk studies applied to microbial ecology, quantitative microbiology for epidemiological studies, statistical methods applied to microbiology, and laws and regulatory policies aimed at lessening the risk of microbial hazards. Work focusing on risk studies of viruses, parasites, microbial toxins, antimicrobial resistant organisms, genetically modified organisms (GMOs), and recombinant DNA products are also acceptable.
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