工业太阳能光伏电站发电预测的深度学习技术综述

Shyam Singh Chandel , Ankit Gupta , Rahul Chandel , Salwan Tajjour
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引用次数: 2

摘要

工业太阳能光伏电站的发电量变化会影响电网的稳定性,因此需要对太阳能发电量进行准确的预测。在本研究中,对光伏发电功率预测的独立和混合机器学习技术进行了全面的更新回顾。预测太阳能发电对于电网的可持续性以及到2030年实现联合国可持续发展目标具有重要意义。两种方法的比较表明,基于输入特征相似度对数据集进行分组可以获得更高的准确率。长短期记忆(LSTM)在所有时间范围内都比其他深度学习网络表现得更好。栅极循环单元(GRU)在训练较少的情况下,比LSTM更适合小数据集。基于更复杂的数据模式,考虑影响工业太阳能发电的因素,提出了一种具有分析和预测能力的深度学习网络模型的新架构。该研究对全球研究人员、太阳能产业和配电公司的可持续发展具有重要意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Review of deep learning techniques for power generation prediction of industrial solar photovoltaic plants

Review of deep learning techniques for power generation prediction of industrial solar photovoltaic plants

Varying power generation by industrial solar photovoltaic plants impacts the steadiness of the electric grid which necessitates the prediction of solar power generation accurately. In this study, a comprehensive updated review of standalone and hybrid machine learning techniques for PV power forecasting is presented. Forecasting solar generation is of importance for the sustainability of grid power and also to achieve the UN sustainable development targets by 2030. The comparison of techniques shows that grouping datasets based on input feature similarity, results in higher accuracy. Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) is found to perform better than other deep learning networks for all time horizons. The Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU), with few trainings, is found to be better for small datasets than LSTM. Based on the more complicated data patterns, a novel architecture of the Deep Learning Network model, with the capability to analyze and forecast is presented considering factors influencing industrial solar power generation. The study is of importance to researchers, solar industry, and electricity distribution companies for sustainable development worldwide.

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