{"title":"汽油价格、交通拥堵和碳排放","authors":"Jindong Pang , Lan An , Shulin Shen","doi":"10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101407","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper explores the effect of gasoline prices on traffic congestion and carbon emissions. The international crude oil price is used as an instrumental variable for the gasoline price in Chinese cities. Empirical results show that a ten percent increase in gasoline prices significantly decreases traffic congestion in rush hours by 0.87%. In addition to reducing vehicle kilometers traveled, higher gasoline prices also decrease carbon emissions by increasing travel speed and fuel efficiency. A ten percent increase in gasoline prices is found to decrease CO<sub>2</sub> emissions by 40.6 million metric tons, accounting for 2.3% of the total CO<sub>2</sub> emissions in the transport sector of China in 2016. This paper's estimates offer guidance for gasoline pricing policies, fuel taxes, traffic congestion, and the Dual-Carbon Target.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47952,"journal":{"name":"Resource and Energy Economics","volume":"75 ","pages":"Article 101407"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6000,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Gasoline prices, traffic congestion, and carbon emissions\",\"authors\":\"Jindong Pang , Lan An , Shulin Shen\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101407\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This paper explores the effect of gasoline prices on traffic congestion and carbon emissions. The international crude oil price is used as an instrumental variable for the gasoline price in Chinese cities. Empirical results show that a ten percent increase in gasoline prices significantly decreases traffic congestion in rush hours by 0.87%. In addition to reducing vehicle kilometers traveled, higher gasoline prices also decrease carbon emissions by increasing travel speed and fuel efficiency. A ten percent increase in gasoline prices is found to decrease CO<sub>2</sub> emissions by 40.6 million metric tons, accounting for 2.3% of the total CO<sub>2</sub> emissions in the transport sector of China in 2016. This paper's estimates offer guidance for gasoline pricing policies, fuel taxes, traffic congestion, and the Dual-Carbon Target.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":47952,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Resource and Energy Economics\",\"volume\":\"75 \",\"pages\":\"Article 101407\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Resource and Energy Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0928765523000623\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Resource and Energy Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0928765523000623","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Gasoline prices, traffic congestion, and carbon emissions
This paper explores the effect of gasoline prices on traffic congestion and carbon emissions. The international crude oil price is used as an instrumental variable for the gasoline price in Chinese cities. Empirical results show that a ten percent increase in gasoline prices significantly decreases traffic congestion in rush hours by 0.87%. In addition to reducing vehicle kilometers traveled, higher gasoline prices also decrease carbon emissions by increasing travel speed and fuel efficiency. A ten percent increase in gasoline prices is found to decrease CO2 emissions by 40.6 million metric tons, accounting for 2.3% of the total CO2 emissions in the transport sector of China in 2016. This paper's estimates offer guidance for gasoline pricing policies, fuel taxes, traffic congestion, and the Dual-Carbon Target.
期刊介绍:
Resource and Energy Economics provides a forum for high level economic analysis of utilization and development of the earth natural resources. The subject matter encompasses questions of optimal production and consumption affecting energy, minerals, land, air and water, and includes analysis of firm and industry behavior, environmental issues and public policies. Implications for both developed and developing countries are of concern. The journal publishes high quality papers for an international audience. Innovative energy, resource and environmental analyses, including theoretical models and empirical studies are appropriate for publication in Resource and Energy Economics.