汇款对经济增长的影响:一个计量经济学模型

Dietmar Meyer , Adela Shera
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引用次数: 264

摘要

在世界范围内,汇款是主要的国际金融资源之一,有时超过了外国直接投资的流量。几个世纪以来,关于发展中经济体经济增长的来源以及为什么一些国家的经济增长比其他国家强劲的争论一直很激烈。本研究旨在观察汇款对经济增长的影响,使用1999-2013年期间六个高汇款接收国(阿尔巴尼亚、保加利亚、马其顿、摩尔多瓦、罗马尼亚和波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那)的面板数据集。与其他区域相比,这些国家的汇款流入大幅增加,目前占汇款总收入的大部分。在大多数国家,汇款是外汇收入的最大来源,占国内生产总值的10%以上。换句话说,计量经济学分析将以这六个汇款接收国为基础。然后,本文将回顾专门研究汇款对经济增长影响的实证文献,以便从经验上确定汇款与这些国家的增长之间是否存在显著关系。研究结果表明,汇款对经济增长具有积极影响,且汇款相对于GDP的比例越高,这种影响越明显。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of remittances on economic growth: An econometric model

Remittances in the world represent one of major international financial resources, which sometimes they exceed the flows of foreign direct investment (FDI). For centuries, there have been heated debates on the sources of economic growth in developing economies and also why some countries reflect strong economic growth comparing to others.

This study aims to observe the impacts of remittances on economic growth, using panel data set of six high remittances receiving countries, Albania, Bulgaria, Macedonia, Moldova, Romania and Bosnia Herzegovina during the period 1999–2013. These countries have experienced a major increase in remittance inflows, and at this time accounts for the bulk of total remittance receipts, compared with other regions. Most countries, remittances represent the largest source of foreign exchange earnings and represent more than 10 percent of GDP.

In other words, the econometric analysis will be based on those six remittance receiving countries. The paper is then to review the empirical literature devoted to the impact of remittances on economic growth, in order, to identify empirically if there are significant relationships between remittances and growth in these countries. The results suggest that remittances have a positive impact on growth and that this impact increases at higher levels of remittances relative to GDP.

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