气温的时空分析和潜在健康影响——以沙特阿拉伯麦加为例。

T. Habeebullah
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引用次数: 1

摘要

高温会以各种方式对人体健康产生不利影响,包括中暑和中暑。利用2002 - 2014年麦加8个气象站的气温资料,分析了麦加气温的时空变化特征。据观察,麦加的气温在空间和时间上都有变化,年平均气温约为27°C至32°C,但每小时气温要高得多,最高可达55°C,高于大多数人,特别是老年人、妇女、儿童和有慢性健康问题的人的舒适温度范围。空间分析表明,麦加东北部地区气温较低,可能与海拔较高有关。在研究期间,除了阿拉法特和阿比迪亚的气温呈负趋势外,大多数监测站的气温均呈正趋势,但不显著。只有代表Waly Al-Ahd地区的Leeth监测站有显著的正向趋势。由于全球变暖和该地区城市化程度的提高,预计这一积极趋势将得到改善,但阿拉法特和邻近地区的消极趋势最有可能是由于大量种植印楝树。分析显示,朝觐正在向一年中的炎热月份(6月、7月和8月)移动,这对朝觐的组织者和朝圣者来说可能是一个挑战。因此,今后几年可能需要更好地规划,包括改善住房、日程安排、交通和确保提供更优质的食品和饮料。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Spatial - temporal analysis and potential health effects of air temperature - a case study in Makkah, Saudi Arabia.
High air temperature can adversely affect human health in various ways, including heat exhaustion and heat stroke. This paper analyses the spatial and temporal variability of air temperature within Makkah using data from 8 monitoring stations from 2002 to 2014. It was observed that air temperature varied both in space and time within Makkah and annual average temperature ranged from about 27 o C to 32 o C, however hourly temperature was much higher and reached as high as 55 o C, which is above the comfortable temperature range for most people, especially for elderly, women, children and those with chronic health problems. Spatial analysis showed that northeast region of Makkah experienced lower temperature, probably due to higher altitude. During the Study period, temperature demonstrated positive non-significant trends at most of the monitoring stations, except at Arafat and Abidiah where the trend was negative. Only Leeth monitoring station, representing Waly Al-Ahd area had positive significant trend. The positive trend is expected due to global warming and increasing urbanisation in this region, however the negative trend in Arafat and adjacent areas is most probably due to mass plantations of neem trees. Analysis shows that Hajj is moving towards hotter months (June, July and August) of the year, which might be a challenge for organisers of the Hajj as well as for the Pilgrims. Therefore, there might be a need for better planning during the coming years, including better housing, scheduling, transportation and ensuring the availability of better quality food and drinks.
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