SARS-CoV-2 病毒载量和入院前症状持续时间对 COVID-19 住院患者死亡率的影响。

Q1 Arts and Humanities
Verónica Rico-Caballero, Mariana Fernández, Juan C Hurtado, M Angeles Marcos, Celia Cardozo, Laia Albiach, Daiana Agüero, Juan Ambrosioni, Marta Bodro, Mariana Chumbita, Lorena De la Mora, Nicole Garcia-Pouton, Ana Gonzalez-Cordón, Gerard Dueñas, Marta Hernandez-Meneses, Alexy Inciarte, Montse Laguno, Lorna Leal, Irene Macaya, Miguel J Martínez, Genoveva Cuesta, Fernanda Meira, Laura Morata, Pedro Puerta-Alcalde, John Rojas, Berta Torres, Pedro Castro, Jose Muñoz, Josep Mensa, José Antonio Martínez, Gemma Sanjuan, Jordi Vila, Felipe García, Carolina Garcia-Vidal, Alex Soriano
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:评估通过反转录实时聚合酶链反应(rRT-PCR)周期阈值(Ct)估算的病毒载量以及症状出现后的天数对 COVID19 住院患者死亡率的影响:方法:对入院后 24 小时内鼻咽拭子中的反转录实时聚合酶链反应(rRT-PCR)呈阳性的 782 名患者进行回顾性观察研究。研究收集了人口统计学数据、临床表现和实验室参数。进行了单变量和多变量分析,以确定与60天后死亡率相关的因素:Ct分为三组,Ct值≤20、21-25和>25时,死亡率分别从27.3%降至20.7%和9.8%(P = 0.0001)。多变量分析表明,Ct 值为 25 时是死亡率的预测因素。除其他因素外,发病天数(DSOA)≤ 6 也是一个与死亡率相关的变量(OR 1.86,CI 95% 1.00-3.46)。需要在 6 个 DSOA 内入院且 Ct 值≤ 25 的患者死亡率最高(28%):结论:将 Ct 值和 DSOA 纳入研究人群的特征描述可作为评估抗病毒药物疗效的有用工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of SARS-CoV-2 viral load and duration of symptoms before hospital admission on the mortality of hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

Purpose: Assess the impact of viral load estimated by cycle threshold (Ct) of reverse transcription real time-polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) and the days from symptoms onset on mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID19.

Methods: Retrospective observational study of 782 patients with a positive rRT-PCR from a nasopharyngeal swab was performed within the first 24 h from admission. Demographic data, clinical manifestations and laboratory parameters were collected. Uni- and multivariate analyses were performed to identify factors associated with mortality at 60 days.

Results: Ct was divided into three groups and the mortality rate decreased from 27.3 to 20.7% and 9.8% for Ct values of ≤ 20, 21-25 and > 25, respectively (P = 0.0001). The multivariate analysis identified as predictors of mortality, a Ct value < 20 (OR 3.13, CI 95% 1.38-7.10), between 21-25 (OR 2.47, CI 95% 1.32-4.64) with respect to a Ct value > 25. Days from symptoms onset is a variable associated with mortality as well (DSOA) ≤ 6 (OR 1.86, CI 95% 1.00-3.46), among other factors. Patients requiring hospital admission within 6 DSOA with a Ct value ≤ 25 had the highest mortality rate (28%).

Conclusions: The inclusion of Ct values and DSOA in the characterization of study populations could be a useful tool to evaluate the efficacy of antivirals.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
0.00%
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23
审稿时长
16 weeks
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