坦桑尼亚国内投资绩效:1980 - 2020年的实证分析

IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS
Bilame Odass
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引用次数: 0

摘要

国内投资是任何国家经济增长的关键组成部分。近年来,国内投资的增长并不乐观。本研究旨在分析影响坦桑尼亚国内投资的因素。本文采用1980- 2020年的时间序列数据对国内投资绩效进行了实证分析。本文采用误差修正模型(ECM)对参数进行估计。对影响坦桑尼亚国内投资的因素进行了批判性分析。影响国内投资的因素包括货币供应量、利率、储蓄率和政府支出。本研究的回归结果显示,政府支出对国内投资的影响不显著,而货币供应量、利率和储蓄率对国内投资的影响具有统计学意义。为此,确实需要影响国内投资的措施,这意味着需要能够控制利率、储蓄率和货币供应量的政策。本文建议建立一个有利的环境,加速金融中介和国内储蓄的动员,以改善国内投资。此外,研究建议鼓励投资激励和建立充满活力的投资促进机构。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Performance of domestic investment in Tanzania: an empirical analysis over the 1980 – 2020 period
Domestic investment is a key component of the economic growth of any country. In recent years, the growth of domestic investment has not been optimistic. This study aims at analyzing the factors affecting domestic investment in Tanzania. Time-series data of the 1980- 2020 period is used to empirically analyse the performance of the domestic investment. The study applies the Error Correction Model (ECM) to estimate the parameters. Factors affecting domestic investment in Tanzania are critically analysed. The factors influencing domestic investment includes money supply, interest rate, savings rate, and government expenditure. The regression results of this study show that government expenditure is insignificant in influencing domestic investment while money supply, interest rate, and savings rate are statistically significant. To this end, measures that influence domestic investment are indeed called for, implying a need for policies that can control interest rates, savings rates, and money supply . This paper recommends putting in place a conducive environment that could accelerate financial intermediation and domestic savings mobilization in order to improve domestic investment. Furthermore, the study suggests the encouragement of investment incentives and the establishment of vibrant investment promotion agencies.
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