PROBIT和HILL模型的比较,以确定伊维菌素对蜱虫(蜱虫,蜱虫:蜱虫科)幼虫的浸泡效果。

J. Torrents
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是对伊维菌素(IVM)体外抗微孢子虫(R. microplus)药效的幼虫浸泡试验结果提出一种替代的统计处理方法,以检测耐药菌株的出现。粮农组织对该技术所得结果的统计分析进行了标准化,并建议使用Probit模型。然而,也有另一种数学模型,可以更精确地分析实验数据,产生更多的信息,如非线性逻辑方程,也称为希尔模型。用两种模型分析了IVM对一株敏感菌的抑菌效果。PROBIT模型与Hill模型的结果比较表明,Hill模型能够更精确地拟合实验数据,产生更多关于小浓度IVM的信息。Probit模型的C50值(13.58 ppm)小于Hill模型(14.24 ppm),而de Hill模型的C90值、C99值和判别剂量值(19.31 ppm、25.74 ppm、51.48 ppm)均大于Probit模型(17.50 ppm、21.98 ppm、43.96 ppm)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
COMPARACIÓN ENTRE EL MODELO PROBIT Y EL MODELO DE HILL PARA DETERMINAR LA EFICACIA DE IVERMECTINA SOBRE LARVAS DE Rhipicephalus (Boophilus) microplus (ACARI, IXODIDA: IXODIDAE) MEDIANTE LA TÉCNICA DE INMERSIÓN.
The aim of this study was to propose an alternative statistic treatment for the results obtained by testing the in vitro efficacy of ivermectin (IVM) against R. microplus using the larval immersion test in order to detect the emergence of resistant strains. The statistical analysis of the results obtained by this technique is standardized by the FAO who proposes the use of the Probit model. However there are alternative mathematical models that allow a more precise analysis of experimental data generating more information as nonlinear logistic equation, also called the Hill model. The results of the IVM efficacy against a sensible strain of R. microplus were analysed whit both model. A comparison between the results obtained with PROBIT and Hill model showed that the last one was able to make a more precise fit of the experimental data, generating more information about small IVM concentrations.  The C50 (13.58 ppm) obtained with Probit model result smaller than the obtained with the Hill model (14.24 ppm), however the C90, C99 and the discriminant dose (19.31 ppm, 25.74 ppm, 51.48 ppm) obtained with de Hill model were bigger than the obtained with the Probit model (17.50 ppm, 21.98 ppm, 43.96 ppm).
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