歧义厌恶是一种偏好吗?没有不对称信息的歧义厌恶

Daniel L. Chen, Martin Schonger
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引用次数: 1

摘要

歧义厌恶是对实验发现(Ellsberg悖论)的解释,即大多数受试者更喜欢下注概率已知(客观)的事件,而不是下注概率未知(主观)的事件。然而,在典型的实验中,这些未知的概率是已知的。因此,典型的埃尔斯伯格实验是一种信息不对称的情况。人们可能会试图避免他们是消息较少的一方,这在规范上是适当的。我们发现,在埃尔斯伯格实验中,消除不对称信息,同时保留模糊性,使受试者更喜欢模棱两可的赌注,而不是客观的赌注,从而逆转了先前的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is Ambiguity Aversion a Preference? Ambiguity Aversion Without Asymmetric Information
Ambiguity aversion is the interpretation of the experimental finding (Ellsberg paradox) that most subjects prefer betting on events whose probabilities are known (objective) to betting on events whose probabilities are unknown (subjective). However in typical experiments these unknown probabilities are known by others. Thus the typical Ellsberg experiment is a situation of asymmetric information. People may try to avoid situations where they are the less informed party, which is normatively appropriate.We find that eliminating asymmetric information in the Ellsberg experiment while leaving ambiguity in place, makes subjects prefer the ambiguous bet over the objective one, reversing the prior results.
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