尼日利亚经济衰退与可持续经济增长的挑战:宏观经济政策评价

I. O. Oseni, A. Okwu, D. Babalola, S. B. Adegboyega
{"title":"尼日利亚经济衰退与可持续经济增长的挑战:宏观经济政策评价","authors":"I. O. Oseni, A. Okwu, D. Babalola, S. B. Adegboyega","doi":"10.56279/ter.v9i1.42","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"\nThe recent economic recession in Nigeria was manifested shortly after the successful democratic-to-democratic transmission of political power in 2015, against the backdrop of continental and global economy rankings of the country as the largest in Africa, and 24th in the world as at 2014. Based on relevant variables of datasets from 1981 to 2016, this paper employed error correction mechanism on log-linear regression model to evaluate macroeconomic policies being implemented to stabilise and restorethe economy on the path of sustainable growth. The variables were surrogates of fiscal, monetary, exchange rate and supply-side policies. The results showed that the respective macroeconomic policies had mixed effects, but jointly had significant growth-retarding effect on the country’s economy. Therefore, the paper concludes that macroeconomic policies had heterogeneous effects, and emphasised the need for appropriate mix of macroeconomic policies to be implemented to sustain and move theeconomy out of the recession trap. \nJEL Codes: C22, C52, E52, E62 and F31 \n","PeriodicalId":91807,"journal":{"name":"Tanzanian economic review","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Recession and the Challenge of Sustainable Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Evaluation of Macroeconomic Policies\",\"authors\":\"I. O. Oseni, A. Okwu, D. Babalola, S. B. Adegboyega\",\"doi\":\"10.56279/ter.v9i1.42\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"\\nThe recent economic recession in Nigeria was manifested shortly after the successful democratic-to-democratic transmission of political power in 2015, against the backdrop of continental and global economy rankings of the country as the largest in Africa, and 24th in the world as at 2014. Based on relevant variables of datasets from 1981 to 2016, this paper employed error correction mechanism on log-linear regression model to evaluate macroeconomic policies being implemented to stabilise and restorethe economy on the path of sustainable growth. The variables were surrogates of fiscal, monetary, exchange rate and supply-side policies. The results showed that the respective macroeconomic policies had mixed effects, but jointly had significant growth-retarding effect on the country’s economy. Therefore, the paper concludes that macroeconomic policies had heterogeneous effects, and emphasised the need for appropriate mix of macroeconomic policies to be implemented to sustain and move theeconomy out of the recession trap. \\nJEL Codes: C22, C52, E52, E62 and F31 \\n\",\"PeriodicalId\":91807,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Tanzanian economic review\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-06-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Tanzanian economic review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v9i1.42\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Tanzanian economic review","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.56279/ter.v9i1.42","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1

摘要

尼日利亚最近的经济衰退是在2015年成功实现民主到民主的政治权力交接后不久出现的,而截至2014年,尼日利亚在非洲大陆和全球经济排名中排名第一,在世界上排名第24位。本文基于1981 - 2016年数据集的相关变量,采用对数线性回归模型的误差修正机制,对为稳定和恢复经济在可持续增长道路上所采取的宏观经济政策进行评估。这些变量是财政、货币、汇率和供给侧政策的替代品。结果表明,各自的宏观经济政策具有混合效应,但共同作用对国家经济具有显著的增长阻滞作用。因此,本文得出结论,宏观经济政策具有异质效应,并强调需要实施适当的宏观经济政策组合,以维持和推动经济走出衰退陷阱。JEL代码:C22、C52、E52、E62和F31
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Recession and the Challenge of Sustainable Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Evaluation of Macroeconomic Policies
The recent economic recession in Nigeria was manifested shortly after the successful democratic-to-democratic transmission of political power in 2015, against the backdrop of continental and global economy rankings of the country as the largest in Africa, and 24th in the world as at 2014. Based on relevant variables of datasets from 1981 to 2016, this paper employed error correction mechanism on log-linear regression model to evaluate macroeconomic policies being implemented to stabilise and restorethe economy on the path of sustainable growth. The variables were surrogates of fiscal, monetary, exchange rate and supply-side policies. The results showed that the respective macroeconomic policies had mixed effects, but jointly had significant growth-retarding effect on the country’s economy. Therefore, the paper concludes that macroeconomic policies had heterogeneous effects, and emphasised the need for appropriate mix of macroeconomic policies to be implemented to sustain and move theeconomy out of the recession trap. JEL Codes: C22, C52, E52, E62 and F31
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信