随着时间的推移,通过投入产出(I-O)表进行结构性比较

M. Saluja, B. Yadav
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引用次数: 0

摘要

有很多研究比较了经济的经济结构。通过比较部门产出的变化来进行比较:(i)在不同的i - o表上使用相同的最终需求(技术效应)和(ii)改变最终需求并保持相同的i - o表(需求效应)。在一些研究中,甚至对单个输入系数进行了比较。如果数据的来源和表的构造方法相同,则可以有效地进行这些比较。然而,这样的分析存在一些问题。每隔大约五年,国民核算统计的基数就进行修订。随着基数的修订,估计数作了一些改变,导致巨大的差异。这并不是因为结构性变化,而是因为增加了新的生产领域,从而导致了产出的变化。一旦作出这种改变,修订后的产出必须在该部门的行中进行调整。随着最近数据的可用性或数据源随每个变化系列的变化而变化,估计会有所不同。在2011-2012年基数系列中,对于制造,概念从注册和未注册转变为有组织和无组织制造。事实上,中央统计局已经根据2011年至2012年的GDP估算新系列(2011年至2012年基数)编制了2001年至2012年和2012年至2013年的供给使用表。在2011-2012年这两个系列中,许多部门的产值和GVA存在巨大差异。我们分析了这些变化对CSO构建的2012-2013年供应使用表的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Structural Comparisons through Input-Output (I-O) Tables over Time
There have been a number of studies comparing the economic structure of the economy. The comparisons are done by comparing the changes in sector-wise outputs resulting from (i) Using the same final demand on different I-O tables (Technology effect) and (ii) Changing the final demand and keeping the same I-O table (Demand effect). For some studies even the individual input coefficients have been compared. These comparisons can be effectively done if the sources for the data and methodology of construction of tables are the same. However, there are problems in making a such analysis. At an interval of about five years, the base for National Accounts Statistics is revised. With the revision of the base some changes are made in the estimates leading to huge differences. They are not because of a structural change but the change in output by adding new areas of production. Once this change is made, the revised output has to be adjusted in the row of the sector. With the availability of recent data or changes of data source with each changing series, the estimates differ. For the series with the base 2011-2012, for manufacturing, the concepts have changed from registered and unregistered to organized and unorganized manufacturing. In fact, the CSO has already constructed supply-use tables for the years 20011-2012 and 2012- 2013 by using estimates compiled for the new series of estimation of GDP (2011-2012 base). There are huge differences in the value of output and GVA in case of a number of sectors for the year 2011-2012 for both the series. We have analysed the effects of such changes on the supply use table constructed by CSO for the year 2012-2013.
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