二战期间的特种作战原则和芬兰远程巡逻

Q2 Arts and Humanities
Ralf Lillbacka
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引用次数: 3

摘要

摘要:本研究评估了威廉·麦克雷文海军上将提出的六项特种作战原则(简单性、安全性、重复性、速度、目的性和突然性)能否预测二战期间芬兰远程巡逻的成功程度。考虑了84项包括蓄意与敌人接触的任务。从LISREL路径模型中获得自举估计。该结果部分支持了McRaven的模型。证明了安全、目的和突袭的显著直接和间接影响。现有数据所施加的限制,以及很少违反其他原则的情况,可能解释了没有进一步重大影响的原因。进一步指出,这些原则可以分为“决定性”(安全性、目的和突然性)和“情境性”(简单性、重复性和部分速度),前者的疏忽会直接造成有害后果,后者主要针对具体案例,可能需要进一步精确才能在分析上可行。根据这种解释,没有显著效果的原因是,一般定义的原则未能确定对成功至关重要的上下文环境。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Special Operations Principles and Finnish Long Range Patrols during WWII
Abstract The study assessed whether the six special operations principles (simplicity, security, repetition, speed, purpose, and surprise) proposed by Admiral William McRaven could predict the degree of success among Finnish long range patrols during WWII. Eighty-four missions that included deliberate contact with the enemy were considered. Bootstrapped estimates were obtained from a LISREL path model. The result offers partial support for McRaven’s model. Significant direct and indirect effects of security, purpose and surprise were demonstrated. Limitations imposed by available data, as well as the circumstance that other principles were rarely violated, may explain the absence of further significant effects. It is furthermore suggested that the principles can be divided into “decisive” (security, purpose, and surprise) where negligence has immediate detrimental consequences, and “contextual” (simplicity, repetition, and in part, speed) that are largely case-specific and may need further precision to be analytically viable. The cause for the absence of significant effects would according to this interpretation be that the principles, as they are generally defined, fail to identify contextual circumstances that are crucial for success.
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来源期刊
Journal of Slavic Military Studies
Journal of Slavic Military Studies Arts and Humanities-History
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
11
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