疟疾-血吸虫共感染模型的数学分析

E. A. Bakare, C. Nwozo
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引用次数: 11

摘要

我们制定并分析了一个数学模型来探索疟疾和血吸虫病之间的相互作用。定性和综合数学技术已被应用于分析模型。分别分析了无病平衡和地方性平衡的局部稳定性。然而,主要定理表明,如果,则无病平衡是局部渐近稳定的,相位将从宿主中消失;如果,一个唯一的地方性平衡也是局部渐近稳定的,疾病在地方性稳定状态下持续存在。血吸虫病及其治疗对疟疾动态的影响也进行了调查。采用一组合理的参数值进行数值模拟表明,当两种传染病的繁殖数超过1时,它们是共存的。此外,疟疾-血吸虫病完整模型的结果还表明,在接受治疗的情况下,血吸虫病感染人数的增加导致疟疾病例的减少。进一步进行敏感性分析,探讨模型参数对疟疾-血吸虫病合并感染传播和传播的影响。数值模拟证实了我们的理论发现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mathematical Analysis of Malaria-Schistosomiasis Coinfection Model
We formulated and analysed a mathematical model to explore the cointeraction between malaria and schistosomiasis. Qualitative and comprehensive mathematical techniques have been applied to analyse the model. The local stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium was analysed, respectively. However, the main theorem shows that if , then the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable and the phase will vanish out of the host and if , a unique endemic equilibrium is also locally asymptotically stable and the disease persists at the endemic steady state. The impact of schistosomiasis and its treatment on malaria dynamics is also investigated. Numerical simulations using a set of reasonable parameter values show that the two epidemics coexist whenever their reproduction numbers exceed unity. Further, results of the full malaria-schistosomiasis model also suggest that an increase in the number of individuals infected with schistosomiasis in the presence of treatment results in a decrease in malaria cases. Sensitivity analysis was further carried out to investigate the influence of the model parameters on the transmission and spread of malaria-schistosomiasis coinfection. Numerical simulations were carried out to confirm our theoretical findings.
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