用回归模型预测集装箱港口长期吞吐量:以同奈港为例- 2050

IF 4.3 Q2 TRANSPORTATION
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引用次数: 0

摘要

通过港口的货物预测不仅对港口管理具有重要意义,而且对基础设施规划也具有重要意义。近年来,海上集装箱货运量增长迅速。因此,集装箱是通过港口进行预测的模型。本研究以东奈港为例,通过港口预测模型建立长期集装箱预测模型。建立2010 - 2020年地方生产总值、进出口总额、工农业产值、外商直接投资等重要经济指标与集装箱运量的相关性,建立预测模型。通过2021年东奈港集装箱的后验,对模型进行了验证,并选择了一个合适的预测模型来预测到2050年的集装箱量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forecasting long - term container port throughput with a regression model: Case of Dong Nai Port - 2050
The forecast of cargo through the port is not only important for port management but also important for infrastructure planning. In recent years, sea container freight has increased quickly. Therefore, the container is through port forecasting models. The research builds long-term containers through port forecasting models applied to the Dong Nai port as a reference. The study has established correlations between important economic indicators from 2010 to 2020, such as total local product, total export and import turnover, industrial, agricultural value, and foreign direct investment with container volume to build a forecasting model. The model is validated by hindcasting containers through Dong Nai port in 2021, and a suitable forecasting model is selected to forecast the container volume until 2050.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology
International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology Engineering-Civil and Structural Engineering
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
105
审稿时长
88 days
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