沿海地区的气候变化:对埃及北部沿海地区的后果、适应和预测

Doaa Elemam, A. Eldeeb
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引用次数: 1

摘要

沿海和河口生态系统提供各种各样的产品和服务,如水质管理、碳储存、粮食供应、一些自然灾害保护等等。然而,这些地区最容易受到气候变化的影响。在本研究中,我们着眼于气候变化的后果和潜在的区域适应方法,重点关注沿海风险。我们从海岸管理方法和长期气候变化两方面评估了它们的功效。由于评估不仅依赖于当地的环境,它适用于大多数沿海地区。我们进行了文献分析,以确定可能适用于Damietta沿海地区的措施。EMA(埃及气象局)、埃及环境事务局(EEAA)、气候变化绩效指数(CCPI)和政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)基于制度特征、社会经济特征或物理环境特征的适应措施分类,用于在这两种综合方法中对这些指标进行分类。与此同时,制定了许多标准来评估该措施的当前和潜在功效,而不考虑上下文。最后,该策略通过根据这些标准评估适应策略和对我们未来将面临的挑战的预测,实现了测量结果之间客观和直接的比较。该研究提出了几项推广策略,以提高人们对气候变化预期后果的认识。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate change in the coastal areas: consequences, adaptations, and projections for the Northern Coastal Area, Egypt
Coastal and estuarine ecosystems provide a diverse range of products and services, such as water quality management, carbon storage, food supply, some natural disaster protection, and to name a few. However, these areas are the most vulnerable to climate change. In this study, we look into climate change consequences and the potential regional adaptation methods to them, with an emphasis on coastal risks. We evaluated their efficacy in terms of both the coastal management methods for which they were designed as well as the climate change in the long term. Because the assessment is not reliant on the local environment only, it is applicable to most coastal locations. We undertook a literature analysis to identify measures that may be applied to the coastal area of Damietta. The EMA (Egyptian Meteorological Authority), the Egyptian Environmental Affairs Agency (EEAA), the Climate Change Performance Index (CCPI), and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) classification of adaptation measures based on institutional characteristics, socioeconomic characteristics, or physical-environmental characteristics are used to categorize these metrics in these two integrated methodologies. Parallel to this, a number of standards were developed to evaluate the measure's present and potential efficacy, regardless of the context. At last, this strategy enabled objective and straightforward comparisons between measurements by assessing the adaptation strategies according to these standards and predictions of the challenges we will face in the future. The study proposed several extension strategies to raise awareness about the expected consequences of climate change.
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