丹麦石棉水泥工人肺癌发病率的组织学分析。

Bengt Jarrholm
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引用次数: 6

摘要

是两者都使用的理由。在预防方面,绝对风险是一个更好的衡量标准,因为它直接衡量了将预防的病例数量。相对危险度可以很容易地转化为病因分数(EF = (RR- i)/ RR),因此在临床实践中可能是一个更好的衡量标准,从而可以衡量某一患者的癌症是由石棉引起的可能性。从更理论化的流行病学观点来看,最佳措施取决于与背景风险相比,石棉的风险是倍增性的还是累加性的。对于乘数风险,发病率(IR)为IR = IRo* f(暴露),其中f是不依赖于背景发病率(IR0)的函数。如果风险是累加性的,则绝对风险为IR = IRO + IRsb,其中IRsb为暴露引起的发病率。由于石棉引起肺癌的风险通常表示为:SMR = 1 + A *剂量(其中A为常数),因此乍一看可能更倾向于选择相对风险。然而,这种关系似乎并不符合Raffin等人的数据,他们论文中“剂量”的唯一衡量标准是就业时间。如果考虑到所有的肺癌,相对风险肯定与工作时间没有线性关系(分别为5年1,1,4和19)。就业时间1-4年的群体较小,特别是按组织学类型分层时,风险的置信区间较大。因此,似乎没有理由将分析限制为乘法模型。在工作时间<1年的人群中有增加的风险。这就提出了暴露组和参照组之间可比性的问题。剂量反应模型也可以考虑上一次接触后的时间,因为一些数据表明,在停止接触石棉几年后,肺癌的风险会降低。”根据接触开始时间的不同,不同的风险可能取决于肿瘤的不同生长速度。间变性癌生长速度快于鳞状细胞癌,鳞状细胞癌生长速度快于腺癌与患有其他组织学类型肿瘤的人相比,暴露于石棉较长时间的人患腺癌的RR较高,这一发现的重要性并不一定意味着只有腺癌是由暴露于石棉引起的。我的结论是
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Incidence of lung cancer by histological type among asbestos cement workers in Denmark.
are arguments for using both. In prevention, the absolute risk is a better measure as it gives a direct measure of the number of cases that will be prevented. The relative risk may be a better measure in clinical practice as it can easily be transformed to the aetiological fraction (EF = (RR-I)/ RR) and thus gives a measure of the chance that the cancer of a certain patient is caused by asbestos. From a more theoretical epidemiological standpoint the best measure depends on whether the risk due to asbestos is multiplicative or additive compared with the background risk. For a multiplicative risk the incidence rate (IR) is IR = IRo* f(exposure), where f is a function not dependent on the background incidence (IR0). If the risk is additive an absolute risk is more appropriate as IR = IRO + IRasb, where IRsb is the incidence rate caused by exposure. A relative risk may at a first glance be preferred as the risk for lung cancer caused by asbestos is usually expressed as: SMR = 1 + a* dose where a is a constant. This relation does not seem to fit the data of Raffin et al, however, and the only measure of "dose" in their paper is employment time. The relative risk is certainly not related in linear fashion to employment time if all lung cancers are considered (1 9, 1-4, and 19 for <1, 1-4, and > 5 years respectively). The group with 1-4 years employment time is small and there are large confidence intervals for the risks especially when stratified according to histological type. Thus there seems to be little justification to restrict the analyses to a multiplicative model. There is an increased risk in the group with <1 year employment time. This raises the question about comparability between the exposed and reference groups. A dose-response model may also consider time since last exposure as some data indicate that the risk of lung cancer decreases some years after the exposure of asbestos has ceased.' A different risk according to time from onset of exposure may depend on the different growing rates of the tumours. Anaplastic carcinoma grows faster than squamous cell carcinoma, which grows faster than adenocarcinoma.2 The importance of the finding of a higher RR for adenocarcinoma in persons with a long time since onset of exposure compared with persons with other histological types of tumour does not necessarily mean that only adenocarcinoma are caused by exposure to asbestos. My conclusion is that the
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