大衰退中的信贷摩擦

P. Kehoe, Pierlauro Lopez, Virgiliu Midrigin, E. Pastorino
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引用次数: 3

摘要

尽管信贷紧缩通常被认为是大衰退的关键决定因素,但迄今为止,尚不清楚家庭或企业面临的信贷状况恶化是经济衰退的主要原因。一些研究表明,从数量上讲,家庭信贷渠道是最重要的渠道。还有很多人认为,公司方面的渠道发挥了至关重要的作用。我们提出了一个模型,其中这两个渠道都存在并明确形式化。我们的分析表明,家庭侧信贷渠道在数量上比企业侧信贷渠道更相关。然后,我们评估了固定规模的转移支付对家庭和企业的相对收益,这些转移支付改善了每个群体获得信贷的机会。我们发现,当转移的目标是家庭而不是企业时,这种转移对就业的影响要大得多。因此,我们为以下观点提供了理论和定量支持:如果政府不是专注于放松企业获得信贷的渠道,而是花费等量的资源来缓解家庭的信贷约束,那么大衰退期间的就业下降就不会那么严重。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Credit Frictions in the Great Recession
Although a credit tightening is commonly recognized as a key determinant of the Great Recession, to date, it is unclear whether a worsening of credit conditions faced by households or by firms was most responsible for the downturn. Some studies have suggested that the household-side credit channel is quantitatively the most important one. Many others contend that the firm-side channel played a crucial role. We propose a model in which both channels are present and explicitly formalized. Our analysis indicates that the household-side credit channel is quantitatively more relevant than the firm-side credit channel. We then evaluate the relative benefits of a fixed-sized transfer to households and to firms that improves each group's access to credit. We find that the effects of such a transfer on employment are substantially larger when the transfer targets households rather than firms. Hence, we provide theoretical and quantitative support to the view that the employment decline during the Great Recession would have been less severe if instead of focusing on easing firms' access to credit, the government had expended an equal amount of resources to alleviate households' credit constraints.
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